Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Any Team to Score 10+ Goals in the Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4261907b9da5402b480cc327556f9d02aa33b2136dd34e5ba5b9589f63da7b7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 70c | 27,683$19,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.21 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed No | 29c | 24,485$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 31c | 17,835$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 72c | 13,519$9,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.06 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 73c | 1,900$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 7c | 710.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed No | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 10c | 480.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…edf7backed No | 12c | 460$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 408$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 370.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 75c | 308.97$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…0cdebacked No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…8ae7backed No | 43c | 234.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Yes | 71c | 224.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…80c1backed No | 5c | 198.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 190.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 126 | 6.3%8 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed No | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 15c | 154.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…8135backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 53c | 128.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…d645backed No | 14c | 116.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…3b79backed No | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafab…8991backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 60c | 55.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 48.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 27c | 45.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…21c3backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…8755backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 78c | 37.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…7a8bbacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Yes | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 38c | 27.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…6462backed Yes | 76c | 22.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…5133backed Yes | 70c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.