Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8caf81dd169f96f209ca073a359cbcfd41f48e5162ae3e12251a64ccd408c569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e8b…6f7bbacked Over | 56c | 3,248$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.7 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 1,219$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.24 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Over | 57c | 1,135$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 1,071$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.35 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 43c | 966.82$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 44c | 768.21$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 761.53$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.76 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 42c | 555$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 56c | 420.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 44c | 389.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…c804backed Over | 56c | 370.54$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 284$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…aa88backed Over | 56c | 216.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Under | 45c | 195.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 57c | 177.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 55c | 154.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Under | 46c | 123.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over | 57c | 123.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 56c | 115.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 46c | 114$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Under | 44c | 112.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 45c | 111.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…09f8backed Under | 45c | 110.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 45c | 103.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 55c | 98.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b29backed Over | 55c | 97.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 43c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 44c | 68.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 65.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Over | 56c | 58.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 56c | 53.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 44c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 43c | 43.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…7c4ebacked Over | 56c | 37.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…cc2abacked Under | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…4f18backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 43c | 30.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 27.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersthis page
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.