Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6628d6fb42deb17fe735572c757e2685966146339da0c74b3c686e7af141ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 31c | 5,627$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 71c | 4,962$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 2,370$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.7 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed Over | 40c | 874.4$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 619.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Over | 34c | 463$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 66c | 399.93$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 67c | 360.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 31c | 162.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 34c | 152.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 77c | 140$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 23c | 135.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Over | 33c | 110.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 67c | 108.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 33c | 96.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Under | 68c | 93.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Over | 32c | 88.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…af89backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Over | 17c | 77.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Over | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Over | 40c | 63.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 67c | 60.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over | 33c | 53.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 38c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Over | 28c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…447dbacked Over | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Under | 69c | 35.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Under | 72c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.