Tennis · resolved market
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbdbdeda07811b994538c9b1c9c6b308faed7946515b1401ec4e3d770f77b1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacob Fearnleyof Luca Nardi, Jacob Fearnley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luca Nardi | 16c | 6,201$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.76 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 4,901$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.14 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luca Nardi | 47c | 3,771$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.12 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Luca Nardi | 10c | 2,604$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luca Nardi | 44c | 2,577$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.25 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luca Nardi | 31c | 2,573$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.84 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Jacob Fearnley | 51c | 2,365$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.43 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luca Nardi | 48c | 2,363$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.44 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Nardi | 8c | 2,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Luca Nardi | 32c | 1,879$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.33 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 1,673$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.72 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…ac9fbacked Luca Nardi | 26c | 1,611$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Luca Nardi | 34c | 1,489$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jacob Fearnley | 79c | 1,164$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Luca Nardi | 34c | 1,019$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.05 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luca Nardi | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Jacob Fearnley | 52c | 776.97$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.34 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 695.15$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 690$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 673.32$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…a396backed Luca Nardi | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Luca Nardi | 7c | 607.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Luca Nardi | 11c | 459.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luca Nardi | 33c | 452.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 447.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 1,093 | 50.4%551 W · 542 L | -18.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Luca Nardi | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Luca Nardi | 33c | 418.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Luca Nardi | 23c | 410.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Luca Nardi | 50c | 396.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 385.24$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Luca Nardi | 38c | 350.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 335.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Luca Nardi | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 329.96$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 306.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 289.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ff90backed Luca Nardi | 21c | 271.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 264.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Luca Nardi | 49c | 246.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Luca Nardi | 58c | 241$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 1,219 | 55%670 W · 549 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 236.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 236$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Jacob Fearnley | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 202.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Jacob Fearnley | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 196.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Luca Nardi | 51c | 192.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…6c08backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 187.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 176$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Luca Nardi | 51c | 167.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 164.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Luca Nardi | 32c | 153.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 138.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luca Nardi | 31c | 133.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luca Nardi | 40c | 116.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 111.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Jacob Fearnley | 58c | 110.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Jacob Fearnley | 57c | 102.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…3b5bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Jacob Fearnley | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 359 | 61.6%221 W · 138 L | +40.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…8c04backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 95.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 91.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jacob Fearnley | 53c | 88.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 85.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 76c | 82.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Luca Nardi | 32c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luca Nardi | 14c | 74.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Luca Nardi | 36c | 70.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…85c9backed Luca Nardi | 34c | 65.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 63.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Luca Nardi | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 57.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luca Nardi | 27c | 57.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 56c | 52.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 51.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Luca Nardi | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Jacob Fearnley | 55c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Luca Nardi | 48c | 47.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Luca Nardi | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Luca Nardi | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Luca Nardi | 34c | 44.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…8692backed Jacob Fearnley | 68c | 44.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Luca Nardi | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…ffb1backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 42.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Jacob Fearnley | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnleythis page
- Nardi vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.