TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Czechiaof Sweden, Czechia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Sweden67c9,000$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.941,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Czechia33c8,910$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,967.1541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sweden68c5,209$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.9827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Czechia33c3,878$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Czechia44c2,449$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.111,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Czechia62c1,637$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.351,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Sweden69c1,457$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia37c1,220$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.874438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Sweden47c1,103$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.042263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Czechia54c1,023$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7132353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Sweden38c1,013$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2945069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Czechia33c887$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.494755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Czechia56c783.92$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.731,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e0…ecc4backed Sweden68c717.22$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Czechia34c644.38$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Sweden40c640.14$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9413336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Czechia34c599.95$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9630946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cb…7219backed Sweden67c593.22$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Sweden68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Sweden62c540.84$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cb…1169backed Sweden77c521.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Czechia33c510.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.363920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Sweden67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Czechia61c499.95$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.851464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Sweden65c489.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.495038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Czechia23c485.79$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.946931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Czechia49c475.28$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8330845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Czechia32c470.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9514254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Sweden35c458.28$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.958043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Czechia34c446.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.17988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.42per pick47cpaid+87.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Sweden36c414.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.612356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec85…8ba8backed Czechia76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Sweden28c390$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Czechia60c380.25$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.621963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Sweden67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010663.2%67 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Czechia35c372.17$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9118136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ef…558fbacked Sweden67c364.3$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Sweden66c362.65$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.137533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Sweden62c358.92$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.681118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dad…95d5backed Czechia63c341.51$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Czechia73c337.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Sweden52c322.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.029846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed Czechia71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Sweden45c284.49$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x654a…c304backed Czechia36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…af97backed Czechia64c263.32$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eea…22cbbacked Sweden49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed Czechia77c235$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…70d9backed Sweden67c224.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Sweden30c211.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fe…9fe1backed Sweden41c200.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Czechia34c199.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed Czechia35c199.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.982857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Sweden68c188.75$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8310464.4%67 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Sweden68c182.51$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1121253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Sweden60c181.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.561080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7eb…4693backed Sweden56c177.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe07d…895fbacked Sweden43c164.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Czechia44c160$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.52969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Czechia64c154.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.64254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Sweden65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Sweden67c149.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9811655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5173…c07cbacked Sweden65c149.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac21…1acebacked Sweden68c147.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91d…0f36backed Czechia35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Sweden42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Czechia78c138.81$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.542536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sweden33c129$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Czechia33c123.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4617553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…47cdbacked Sweden58c120.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Sweden66c119.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.193327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Sweden67c116.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9820245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Sweden45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Czechia31c104.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.913749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sweden35c103.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0431540.3%127 W · 188 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Sweden68c102.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Sweden65c101.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1514551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Sweden66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Sweden39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sweden24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Sweden46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4645447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Czechia30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9997955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Czechia52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9917755.9%99 W · 78 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sweden38c98.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sweden35c93.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.383063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Czechia33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.916847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed Sweden68c89.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c9…8bf1backed Sweden67c86.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Czechia55c84.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Czechia31c82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.588844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Czechia60c81.11$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.52458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Czechia66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Sweden68c75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6343250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Sweden67c74.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Czechia51c73.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Czechia66c73.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Sweden32c70.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Czechia56c70.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a56…4e46backed Sweden43c69.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8170%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Czechia64c68.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.