NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Norway vs. Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x996f48ae963ab2d57488c588a27e36c8479e59bbceb43e630dd10db5b3fa5d28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Norway, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norway | 76c | 2,353$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Slovenia | 27c | 999.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…1169backed Slovenia | 31c | 977.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Norway | 73c | 842.76$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Slovenia | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Slovenia | 28c | 399.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Slovenia | 31c | 305.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Norway | 70c | 303.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Slovenia | 28c | 290.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…e259backed Slovenia | 13c | 210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Norway | 73c | 206.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Slovenia | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Norway | 70c | 141.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Norway | 73c | 94.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…4b05backed Slovenia | 32c | 90.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Slovenia | 31c | 81.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Norway | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…39a6backed Slovenia | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Slovenia | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Norway | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Norway | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e9dcbacked Norway | 73c | 54.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed Norway | 73c | 40.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1a…f1f7backed Norway | 72c | 22.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Norway | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Norway | 78c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…85d2backed Norway | 72c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.