Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dimitris Azoidis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24452d985d4e7d0922b4e935aa696dd45212bf797a6cbcc20990a072fb8dd98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dimitris Azoidisof Ivan Marrero Curbelo, Dimitris Azoidis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Dimitris Azoidis | 37c | 1,879$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.11 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 54c | 1,556$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.25 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…93c7backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 66c | 454.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 73c | 450$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Dimitris Azoidis | 28c | 450$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 64c | 312.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Dimitris Azoidis | 32c | 299.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.36 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 73c | 271.5$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dimitris Azoidis | 37c | 195.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 55c | 195$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 70c | 150.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…5a2fbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 67c | 143.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dimitris Azoidis | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 38c | 135.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 54c | 133.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dimitris Azoidis | 47c | 131.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dimitris Azoidis | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dimitris Azoidis | 28c | 114.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 69c | 103.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Dimitris Azoidis | 30c | 101.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dimitris Azoidis | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Dimitris Azoidis | 59c | 89.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 55c | 79.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Dimitris Azoidis | 43c | 76.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…ba8bbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 58c | 73.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 69c | 68.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Dimitris Azoidis | 31c | 67.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Dimitris Azoidis | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 58c | 62.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dimitris Azoidis | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Dimitris Azoidis | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…e824backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Dimitris Azoidis | 30c | 32.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dimitris Azoidis | 42c | 28.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 50c | 20.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.