Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x749d3ee163e3ea4e670c664a81d700538dac926e40ac8b4c1a7819ee41ddbf66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frances Tiafoeof Frances Tiafoe, Jan Choinski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $703,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $854,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $703,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cb5…ef29backed Jan Choinski | 31c | 145,692$45,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,098.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…6dd9backed Frances Tiafoe | 79c | 122,580$96,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,865.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 33,688$23,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jan Choinski | 26c | 24,913$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jan Choinski | 21c | 16,510$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,522.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 14,015$9,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.98 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jan Choinski | 28c | 13,812$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.94 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Jan Choinski | 30c | 12,567$3,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,797.39 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 7,407$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 7,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.99 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 6,513$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.16 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 4,815$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Frances Tiafoe | 79c | 4,655$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.04 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jan Choinski | 13c | 4,451$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 3,528$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.04 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Jan Choinski | 26c | 3,460$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.8 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 3,386$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.37 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Jan Choinski | 15c | 3,250$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 3,194$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.99 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Jan Choinski | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Jan Choinski | 32c | 2,998$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.5 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Jan Choinski | 19c | 2,997$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jan Choinski | 33c | 2,991$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.12 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…1e73backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 2,900$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 2,442$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.54 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jan Choinski | 34c | 2,353$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.52 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 2,024$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 1,933$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Jan Choinski | 23c | 1,867$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.36 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 1,849$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 1,831$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jan Choinski | 7c | 1,778$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Frances Tiafoe | 57c | 1,710$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.79 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 1,552$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 476 | 51.9%247 W · 229 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Jan Choinski | 25c | 1,520$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Jan Choinski | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jan Choinski | 24c | 1,488$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.66 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 1,479$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.73 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 1,410$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.96 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Frances Tiafoe | 77c | 1,193$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jan Choinski | 26c | 1,019$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.45 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Jan Choinski | 27c | 798.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 789.5$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Frances Tiafoe | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Jan Choinski | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Jan Choinski | 16c | 756.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jan Choinski | 10c | 753.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 737.5$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Jan Choinski | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7d3dbacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…4092backed Frances Tiafoe | 73c | 688.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Jan Choinski | 30c | 679.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Jan Choinski | 2c | 631.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Frances Tiafoe | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jan Choinski | 23c | 596$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Frances Tiafoe | 62c | 583.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Frances Tiafoe | 58c | 525.4$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.67 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Jan Choinski | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 464.61$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 463.78$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…53f7backed Frances Tiafoe | 78c | 459.59$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Jan Choinski | 30c | 436.55$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 415.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Frances Tiafoe | 68c | 395.31$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jan Choinski | 19c | 393$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 373.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jan Choinski | 28c | 370.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 357.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Jan Choinski | 31c | 350.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Jan Choinski | 11c | 338.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Jan Choinski | 30c | 334.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Jan Choinski | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Jan Choinski | 4c | 330.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Jan Choinski | 25c | 309.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Frances Tiafoe | 75c | 304.08$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 303.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Frances Tiafoe | 70c | 302.72$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…fb48backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 302.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jan Choinski | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jan Choinski | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Jan Choinski | 14c | 299.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Frances Tiafoe | 76c | 297.58$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Jan Choinski | 26c | 296.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…14c3backed Jan Choinski | 9c | 291.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jan Choinski | 16c | 288.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jan Choinski | 22c | 274.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Jan Choinski | 33c | 265.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 262.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinskithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs ChoinskiChoinski won
- Set 2 Winner: Tiafoe vs ChoinskiTiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5)Tiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-2.5) vs Choinski (+2.5)Choinski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.