TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Sinja Kraus

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinja Krausof Renata Zarazua, Sinja Kraus
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Sinja Kraus58c9,669$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,036.058,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sinja Kraus76c7,427$5,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.5593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Renata Zarazua12c5,315$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.996,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Renata Zarazua37c5,017$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.4911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Renata Zarazua43c3,200$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.723,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Renata Zarazua25c3,112$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.8414246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinja Kraus53c2,352$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.293,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua46c2,212$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.121,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Renata Zarazua47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Renata Zarazua27c2,000$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.539,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…8895backed Sinja Kraus79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.094257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sinja Kraus78c1,171$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sinja Kraus74c947.41$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sinja Kraus72c822.44$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.594,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Renata Zarazua15c798.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.831,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Sinja Kraus75c608.88$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1838066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad70…23f1backed Renata Zarazua47c606.42$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0213253%70 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Sinja Kraus76c590$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.164065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Renata Zarazua33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.514,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Renata Zarazua47c457.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.94,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Renata Zarazua33c431.38$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.111,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Sinja Kraus54c429.63$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Renata Zarazua42c422.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.851,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Sinja Kraus59c405.68$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.871,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Renata Zarazua14c394.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.222,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Renata Zarazua18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Sinja Kraus54c325.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9313948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Renata Zarazua24c307.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9227528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sinja Kraus73c307.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.63,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Sinja Kraus59c300.41$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Renata Zarazua48c299.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.791,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Renata Zarazua46c288.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.862,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sinja Kraus54c272.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.364,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Sinja Kraus59c267.76$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.860651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Sinja Kraus69c252.52$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5220865.9%137 W · 71 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Renata Zarazua32c244.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.651,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sinja Kraus63c239.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.493,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Sinja Kraus66c213.02$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.512,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sinja Kraus74c210.81$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8189663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Renata Zarazua47c203.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.811,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Sinja Kraus53c189.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.31,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Renata Zarazua14c185.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2658931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Renata Zarazua22c177.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Sinja Kraus58c175.42$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4578847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Renata Zarazua23c167.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Renata Zarazua18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Renata Zarazua25c158.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.152,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Sinja Kraus54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1521964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Renata Zarazua26c144.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Sinja Kraus62c134.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.711,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Sinja Kraus57c131.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.675853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Sinja Kraus51c118.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9826backed Renata Zarazua17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204938.8%19 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+52.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Renata Zarazua23c116.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8424748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sinja Kraus71c114.9$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.426,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Sinja Kraus59c114.59$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4219445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Sinja Kraus78c113.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0447274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Renata Zarazua37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Sinja Kraus65c97.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Sinja Kraus55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9514357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Renata Zarazua46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Sinja Kraus67c88.43$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.082,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Sinja Kraus62c86.48$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4885348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Sinja Kraus51c82.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3318551.4%95 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Sinja Kraus56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4325948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Sinja Kraus59c66.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6611947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua45c65.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.275,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Renata Zarazua18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.868430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Sinja Kraus59c59.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4476853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Sinja Kraus59c56.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Renata Zarazua46c56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7645744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Renata Zarazua27c53.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Sinja Kraus56c53.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3236743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920b…9eccbacked Sinja Kraus60c52.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828655.8%48 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Renata Zarazua29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7962727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Sinja Kraus76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.856153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sinja Kraus70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e54…4923backed Renata Zarazua47c44.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Renata Zarazua49c42.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.521,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Sinja Kraus80c41.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5320552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Sinja Kraus59c41.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2414449.3%71 W · 73 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Sinja Kraus59c40.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7848652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Renata Zarazua32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7525336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Sinja Kraus59c37.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4661752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Sinja Kraus71c37.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.936545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86f…6e5abacked Sinja Kraus62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.564546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Sinja Kraus59c32.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3557052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sinja Kraus62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed Renata Zarazua38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5b…3b06backed Renata Zarazua41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.298654.7%47 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Sinja Kraus59c27.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4512047.5%57 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Sinja Kraus48c27.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.373748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f2…9c52backed Sinja Kraus73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43876.3%29 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Renata Zarazua47c27.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7451644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Sinja Kraus71c27.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8441768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6175…3d3bbacked Sinja Kraus54c26.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Sinja Kraus59c25.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6814856.8%84 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Renata Zarazua50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2524…9567backed Renata Zarazua40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Sinja Kraus51c22.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2610032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.