Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18710f6a97f91f5782bbb86f45c59ee9e09e7c7032f8189cfe5cafed7c722dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $720,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $720,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 138,766$13,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,621.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 40,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 37,002$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.08 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 25,204$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.76 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 7c | 23,229$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 7c | 16,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 14,198$7,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 8c | 11,913$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,480$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.33 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 7c | 9,204$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.26 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 2c | 8,434$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,235$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 7c | 5,750$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 5,747$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.16 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,358$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.93 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 7c | 4,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,739$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.73 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 4,614$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Yes | 8c | 4,375$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 4,320$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.94 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 8c | 3,563$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.01 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…6866backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 7c | 3,236$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 8c | 3,123$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,869$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.23 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 44c | 2,772$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 11c | 2,520$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 8c | 2,375$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,286$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Yes | 1c | 2,250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…1e1ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,213$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 2,127$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d6d6backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,950$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,929$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…012ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,790$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 1,672$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,668$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 6c | 1,556$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…143bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,546$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 150 | 26.7%40 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…c561backed Yes | 8c | 1,446$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,439$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.79 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes | 8c | 1,438$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…f186backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 6.3%11 W · 164 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 77c | 1,416$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…00abbacked Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,395$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,383$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,339$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 1,311$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.15 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 1,301$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 7c | 1,220$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 8c | 1,215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 7c | 1,083$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 27.5%49 W · 129 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 21c | 933.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 15c | 909.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 15c | 899.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 8c | 875$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 49c | 836.5$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.22 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked No | 32c | 830.95$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.06 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 7c | 828.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed Yes | 14c | 814.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Yes | 25c | 808.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 30%42 W · 98 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 19c | 751.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…cd5abacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 16c | 749.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 7c | 742.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 7c | 741.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 25c | 724.26$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…9fc3backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…595dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 70c | 711.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 7c | 710$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…db69backed Yes | 25c | 710$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…a0aabacked No | 77c | 688.93$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 187 | 65.2%122 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.