TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes3c35,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c24,038$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c15,554$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes10c10,035$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c7,030$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.633,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Yes3c6,493$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1947339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes5c4,935$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes3c3,954$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017820.8%37 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes2c3,770$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Yes3c3,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes3c3,514$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes12c2,000$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes3c1,877$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes2c1,800$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441137.1%8 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…c72bbacked Yes3c1,698$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.451020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec7…c222backed Yes3c1,692$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44667.6%5 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4538817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes3c1,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.525510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes2c1,407$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011421.1%24 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes4c1,389$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes2c1,364$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes10c1,236$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.45417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes3c1,218$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1128134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…f201backed Yes3c1,158$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…c561backed Yes3c1,154$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3028…8621backed Yes6c1,076$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.073040%12 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes3c1,058$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes3c1,057$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3733510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes7c876.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.281,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes9c800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes12c798$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.817816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes13c786.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes9c774.56$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes3c769.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030032.3%97 W · 203 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes5c749.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2515312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes14c729.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a61…0ef0backed Yes10c722.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510320.4%21 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes2c625$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe67d…8180backed Yes3c616.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205612.5%7 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes3c615$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes6c614.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35240%0 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes8c602.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1810037%37 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Yes3c600$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…957ebacked Yes3c595.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.492236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171b…5179backed Yes3c576.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes6c529.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6413527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…8a97backed Yes4c524.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.91513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Yes4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.55916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes2c489$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1133729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes3c464.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131529.2%14 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes7c450$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes4c435.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ef6…20dcbacked Yes12c413.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes13c412.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5240912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes3c410$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8916428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…a8d3backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10348.8%3 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…a07cbacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26216.1%10 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641b…74e3backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ab…f369backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Yes3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107255.6%40 W · 32 L+11.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+119.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Yes3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108923.6%21 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes4c344$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4235035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dec…e107backed Yes14c341.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.029744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595c…1a1dbacked Yes9c341.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.386524.6%16 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x096b…cf0cbacked Yes6c338.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c03…3e4fbacked Yes5c323.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.174032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+83.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes5c321.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes4c310.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes6c279.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6545528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes7c263.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes12c250.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…c77ebacked Yes6c207.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes14c181.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes8c178.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes12c170$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3528326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes12c161.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes13c132.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.381,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2524…9567backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.