TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$646,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$642,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c106,926$16,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,698.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes15c39,836$6,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,051.41,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes15c38,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes15c29,999$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.8714343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes15c16,667$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes15c15,977$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.5278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2507153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes14c14,999$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.893818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes15c13,165$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes15c12,147$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8227416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes15c11,858$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.71567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Yes14c10,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes14c8,634$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes14c7,977$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.7535514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c87…08eebacked Yes16c6,196$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.362835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x867f…9ae3backed Yes15c5,816$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.443836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes19c5,275$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007727.3%21 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes16c3,450$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5529218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes15c3,232$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7727520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c3,173$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4766729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a0…9c09backed Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes15c2,996$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.6911616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6c…755bbacked Yes4c2,800$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212733.9%43 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes17c2,537$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2622437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes15c2,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes15c2,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes15c2,250$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34027811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c2,125$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.011,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46013118.3%24 W · 107 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x995e…4ae4backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010422.1%23 W · 81 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes15c1,932$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.73316.5%2 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d5…0967backed Yes15c1,803$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.41850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c1,705$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes16c1,645$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.545034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes14c1,607$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22518435.3%65 W · 119 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes14c1,500$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.224526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes14c1,489$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Yes15c1,340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015315.1%8 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x780d…d20cbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes15c1,288$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.14826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes15c1,267$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005925.4%15 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes15c1,093$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16435612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes18c1,088$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0435719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes21c1,054$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5736123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes2c1,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf191…2938backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes15c774.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.21197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes14c750$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055424.1%13 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes17c735.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252010%2 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44aa…5a16backed Yes15c724.13$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.624146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes14c719.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.711520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes15c700$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes4c676.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes15c673.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10115026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Yes15c670$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.514024.3%34 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f79…1c85backed Yes15c667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.054238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa8…c69cbacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb47…993abacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010412.5%13 W · 91 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4514…a122backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009631.3%30 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd08c…b6b7backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003821.1%8 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f12…3f91backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af6…842ebacked Yes15c664.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.635525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes12c653.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.42,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes15c652.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8534231.3%107 W · 235 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes4c645.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb70…be84backed Yes14c642.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906414.1%9 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.