TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4060…3ec3backed No61c24,888$15,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,691.9729264%187 W · 105 L+47.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0681…f713backed Yes6c12,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…397dbacked Yes59c9,382$5,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.5410051%51 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Yes10c5,296$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.315020.7%31 W · 119 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa53b…4021backed Yes29c5,231$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.9329447.3%139 W · 155 L+34.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+30.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Yes13c4,083$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.841546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13c…02f4backed Yes74c3,155$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.381060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3764…c5ebbacked No54c3,064$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.6229236.3%106 W · 186 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4867…a6f8backed Yes34c2,764$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.569658.3%56 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c2,274$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721,0249.1%93 W · 931 L-25.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…df53backed Yes43c2,043$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.421963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed Yes14c2,003$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.669422.3%21 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes26c1,814$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.7210148.5%49 W · 52 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes14c1,811$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes1c1,752$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c1,646$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5812126.4%32 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d16…7228backed Yes61c1,575$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.792864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6364…8316backed Yes6c1,094$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.286150.8%31 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b58…a73fbacked No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac5…ae24backed Yes49c931$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.919855.6%110 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No29c927.21$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.3817752%92 W · 85 L+20.4wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No72c903.6$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.393023.3%7 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6061…5090backed No48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4681060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Yes62c865$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.74825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a83…74e9backed Yes76c659.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes32c641.18$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.832080%16 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff6…1369backed Yes26c584.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534050%20 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab0…bd9cbacked No68c583$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes5c577.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9719923.1%46 W · 153 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…226ebacked Yes42c560.3$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98e…797fbacked Yes47c550$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes6c503.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.261246.5%8 W · 116 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes31c501.7$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7230438.8%118 W · 186 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes8c459.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.573221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes46c456$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.764339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c43…cbb2backed Yes16c446.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Yes29c439.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.364548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes49c429.42$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9727322%60 W · 213 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6dc…71a6backed No51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x741e…9b87backed Yes26c396.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes17c370$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.92450%12 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes4c323.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd46…e514backed No75c292.63$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e84…8e88backed No79c279$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.57862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…c988backed Yes16c278.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+111.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13035334%120 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No69c255.75$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2412348.8%60 W · 63 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c2…0c32backed No53c253.85$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes37c253.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.731,26524.5%310 W · 955 L-56.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d5…37aebacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+108.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21dd…0b83backed Yes7c243.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Yes7c243.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dba…d397backed Yes17c236$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.12156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d1…40c3backed No58c220.36$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.841747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…11cdbacked Yes49c205.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8233…df36backed No56c202.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x652e…4a94backed Yes15c202.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817f…bf28backed Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x999c…4904backed No79c186$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No50c171$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c160$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520624.8%51 W · 155 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.48353%44 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed No55c155.96$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.834534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Yes63c151.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58a8…52febacked Yes14c151.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb451…467bbacked Yes45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e68…6898backed No65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255c…16dfbacked No50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e69…c122backed Yes8c139.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6d…623abacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No39c128.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.25442.6%23 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6e…e39dbacked No79c127.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2210100%10 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes29c126.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4623323.6%55 W · 178 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc044…2d08backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed No51c112$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed No51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b0…4871backed Yes54c104.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee8…801bbacked Yes41c101.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbade…5c92backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc946…5465backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c2…85f2backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x490d…d807backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3875…a45ebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533718.9%7 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes11c97.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612829.7%38 W · 90 L-15.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes46c94.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6739034.4%134 W · 256 L-33.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd640…480cbacked Yes14c90.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.233941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874f…b0a5backed No47c90.02$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed No47c88.36$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e77…e626backed Yes32c85.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5705…4652backed Yes21c82.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No51c78.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.913565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f3…8b96backed Yes54c74.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked Yes27c74.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206631.8%21 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe2…b686backed No61c65.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.