Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29346a5ff65e2bffc16e0c4e558f8d8e9390cc501d228cf527acdbca4c4d835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Downof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 54c | 7,798$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.67 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Down | 25c | 6,053$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521 | 304 | 38.8%118 W · 186 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Up | 78c | 4,665$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Down | 47c | 3,966$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.37 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Down | 47c | 3,275$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Up | 77c | 3,119$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 68c | 3,000$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked Down | 69c | 2,933$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 66c | 2,772$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.54 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…4d5ebacked Down | 22c | 2,697$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.81 | 151 | 21.2%32 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…0d21backed Down | 47c | 2,540$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.85 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Up | 44c | 2,300$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.38 | 1,265 | 24.5%310 W · 955 L | -56.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Down | 79c | 2,260$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 303 | 43.2%131 W · 172 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Up | 46c | 2,038$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.48 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Down | 64c | 1,746$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Up | 43c | 1,292$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Up | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…b40cbacked Up | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Up | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Down | 35c | 854.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.97 | 305 | 34.8%106 W · 199 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 56c | 842.09$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed Up | 63c | 778.17$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…9b72backed Up | 72c | 718.63$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 67c | 700$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…ec23backed Down | 65c | 663.06$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Down | 72c | 649.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 25c | 621.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.4 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Up | 73c | 603.26$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…17f4backed Down | 61c | 596.74$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Up | 68c | 567.36$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.65 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Up | 72c | 461.93$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Up | 71c | 450.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Down | 35c | 407.06$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…23f6backed Up | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Up | 75c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Up | 7c | 379$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Down | 44c | 372.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.62 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Up | 62c | 354.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Up | 64c | 337.89$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Up | 66c | 314.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.29 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed Down | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Down | 33c | 298.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Up | 16c | 283.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Down | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…666fbacked Down | 41c | 221.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Up | 50c | 216.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Up | 55c | 203.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Down | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed Down | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…55eabacked Down | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Down | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Down | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Up | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…8df6backed Up | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed Up | 52c | 197.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa561…f676backed Down | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…0b19backed Up | 35c | 168.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked Down | 61c | 162.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Up | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Down | 45c | 139.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Down | 52c | 139.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 357 | 50.4%180 W · 177 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…2d08backed Up | 44c | 131.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Down | 78c | 126.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Down | 71c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed Down | 42c | 116.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…aa05backed Down | 75c | 111.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Down | 30c | 111.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Up | 38c | 106.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…82b1backed Down | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…8c7bbacked Down | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…e990backed Up | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Down | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…4956backed Up | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…23c6backed Up | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Down | 50c | 93.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Down | 44c | 91.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Down | 68c | 90.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Up | 52c | 77.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Up | 64c | 67.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked Up | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…c6bbbacked Down | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…4dcbbacked Down | 40c | 63.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…7f84backed Up | 78c | 62.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3b…9f3fbacked Down | 22c | 62.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…0b8bbacked Up | 32c | 53.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Up | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…8323backed Up | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…df57backed Up | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Up | 46c | 48.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…664dbacked Up | 42c | 43.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…c5edbacked Up | 67c | 43.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Down | 25c | 40.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…d74dbacked Up | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…fd1dbacked Up | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…357bbacked Up | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…8b7ebacked Up | 79c | 34.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…becfbacked Up | 45c | 33.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a469backed Up | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Up | 37c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.