CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83b4b47f4e152c123ccd606f8e002d34fe395eaf0bd6f40c6651d1e19b36833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 18c | 545.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 57c | 395.27$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed SPARTA | 62c | 334$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Leo Team | 60c | 307.53$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.52 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed Leo Team | 42c | 264.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Leo Team | 54c | 258.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.69 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Leo Team | 35c | 251.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed SPARTA | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 56c | 178.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 24c | 164.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team | 39c | 159.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 33c | 151.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Leo Team | 32c | 142.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed SPARTA | 35c | 139.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leo Team | 61c | 117.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked SPARTA | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…a53fbacked Leo Team | 32c | 102.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…2605backed SPARTA | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Leo Team | 43c | 101.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Leo Team | 36c | 100.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 49c | 97.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Leo Team | 66c | 78.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Leo Team | 21c | 75.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 67c | 67.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Leo Team | 43c | 44.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked SPARTA | 75c | 39.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked SPARTA | 72c | 33.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed SPARTA | 74c | 31.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SPARTA | 57c | 28.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed SPARTA | 76c | 23.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Leo Team | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 102 | 27.5%28 W · 74 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Leo Team | 63c | 19.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leo Team | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.