CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x788a573592cf4014640f9566fc49490561e978066fc07d4108ae321ea1b760c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof SPARTA, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed SPARTA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 48c | 405.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 36c | 359.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Leo Team | 52c | 265.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leo Team | 54c | 218.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked SPARTA | 31c | 208.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Leo Team | 64c | 183.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team | 56c | 154.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Leo Team | 66c | 145.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 40c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team | 49c | 75.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 36c | 73.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked SPARTA | 54c | 63.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Leo Team | 76c | 55.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Leo Team | 59c | 35.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked SPARTA | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leo Team | 52c | 27.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Leo Team | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Leo Team | 77c | 18.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.