CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb3e6600c409415968b8dfd8c78041a9c7c7172b83d9e158f22a5b7a94e278f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof NIP, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $797,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Heroic | 49c | 93,930$46,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,704.38 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed NIP | 54c | 40,934$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic | 49c | 35,000$16,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,009.03 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NIP | 59c | 30,684$18,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,103.47 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed NIP | 54c | 30,000$16,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,105.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 42c | 25,000$10,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,449.98 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Heroic | 47c | 17,199$8,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,123.45 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Heroic | 46c | 16,419$7,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,866.15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed NIP | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.97 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 35c | 10,945$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.37 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 54c | 10,541$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.39 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Heroic | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 49c | 9,879$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.72 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed NIP | 54c | 9,237$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 33c | 8,255$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.05 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed NIP | 41c | 8,060$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.82 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Heroic | 43c | 7,380$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.77 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf1…c33dbacked NIP | 46c | 7,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NIP | 16c | 6,773$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.34 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 39c | 6,621$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.98 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed NIP | 38c | 5,791$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 42c | 5,632$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.59 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NIP | 46c | 5,591$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.34 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed NIP | 61c | 5,546$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked NIP | 34c | 5,044$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.88 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Heroic | 55c | 5,000$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8b5abacked NIP | 47c | 4,936$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked NIP | 51c | 4,900$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.98 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed NIP | 38c | 4,823$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Heroic | 55c | 4,798$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.37 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 49c | 4,783$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Heroic | 41c | 4,591$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 63c | 4,431$2,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 48c | 4,400$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 51c | 4,224$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed NIP | 51c | 4,218$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.83 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 42c | 4,061$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Heroic | 63c | 4,005$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.73 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed NIP | 36c | 3,988$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.71 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 37c | 3,985$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.05 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 39c | 3,924$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.33 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 59c | 3,827$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked NIP | 37c | 3,814$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.21 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 38c | 3,707$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 64c | 3,655$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.19 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 47c | 3,633$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked NIP | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 33c | 3,457$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.82 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Heroic | 71c | 3,275$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.3 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked NIP | 12c | 3,251$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.79 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Heroic | 54c | 3,013$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.79 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed NIP | 57c | 3,001$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.29 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed NIP | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Heroic | 47c | 2,947$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.76 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed NIP | 54c | 2,777$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.01 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed NIP | 57c | 2,750$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Heroic | 48c | 2,700$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Heroic | 60c | 2,588$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.95 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NIP | 33c | 2,538$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.43 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked NIP | 38c | 2,536$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.19 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NIP | 62c | 2,418$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.42 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 48c | 2,410$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.81 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Heroic | 43c | 2,200$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed NIP | 46c | 2,116$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.07 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Heroic | 48c | 2,000$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed NIP | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Heroic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed NIP | 54c | 1,957$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 44c | 1,952$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…7c44backed Heroic | 26c | 1,925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed NIP | 58c | 1,866$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked NIP | 48c | 1,777$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.66 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,731$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.92 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 54c | 1,718$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.94 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Heroic | 47c | 1,709$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.74 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Heroic | 63c | 1,653$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.95 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Heroic | 47c | 1,600$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.73 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed NIP | 17c | 1,587$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.73 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…1d94backed NIP | 38c | 1,587$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 34c | 1,534$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.61 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked NIP | 61c | 1,520$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked NIP | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 51c | 1,500$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.7 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed NIP | 21c | 1,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Heroic | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 45c | 1,451$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.09 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked NIP | 54c | 1,450$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.99 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed NIP | 68c | 1,446$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.35 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed NIP | 54c | 1,399$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked NIP | 68c | 1,379$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Heroic | 28c | 1,319$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.43 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,298$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.36 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.