CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b25b63fca798b6fb80a2c145ee5fec9e234a8624325f999e5db2a5b2f7ba0c6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NIPof NIP, Heroic
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $229,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $296,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP	74c	9,983$7,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.18	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Heroic	37c	9,018$3,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,368.79	1,407	38.9%547 W · 860 L	-41.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed Heroic	38c	8,980$3,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,412.34	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP	51c	7,859$3,987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,872.75	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP	63c	6,309$4,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,308.21	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Heroic	36c	5,435$1,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943	64	50%32 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic	28c	4,916$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.08	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked NIP	62c	4,203$2,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,616.1	384	54.2%208 W · 176 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked Heroic	37c	3,522$1,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.58	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP	61c	3,232$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.73	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Heroic	39c	3,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	371	57.7%214 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked NIP	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,259.98	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked NIP	57c	2,350$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.5	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic	26c	2,268$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.9	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Heroic	55c	2,172$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	133	42.1%56 W · 77 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked NIP	57c	2,162$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.87	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	36c	2,113$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.65	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic	32c	2,074$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.95	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Heroic	40c	2,047$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.94	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed NIP	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	434	55.1%239 W · 195 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic	39c	1,500$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic	46c	1,500$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.52	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP	62c	1,500$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.63	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Heroic	40c	1,497$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.58	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic	40c	1,385$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.7	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic	48c	1,320$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.83	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP	61c	1,118$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.25	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked NIP	59c	1,100$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.5	193	57%110 W · 83 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Heroic	56c	1,095$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked NIP	61c	999.99$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390	222	66.7%148 W · 74 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic	52c	995.45$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.81	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Heroic	39c	929.19$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.82	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Heroic	50c	916.17$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.65	694	45%312 W · 382 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed NIP	65c	902.1$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.52	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP	60c	831.87$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.31	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NIP	60c	827.77$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.77	965	45.7%441 W · 524 L	+10.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Heroic	37c	786.11$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic	21c	776$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.22	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed NIP	61c	767.35$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.35	213	46.9%100 W · 113 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5954…b807backed NIP	56c	714.02$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.02	76	64.5%49 W · 27 L	+9.2wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked NIP	58c	700$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Heroic	25c	693.73$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.81	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Heroic	20c	687.98$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.29	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Heroic	42c	665.99$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.47	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic	26c	631.86$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.86	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6277backed NIP	55c	619.99$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed NIP	43c	555.31$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.96	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Heroic	39c	534.25$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.36	513	48.3%248 W · 265 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic	41c	506.78$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.15	421	54.6%230 W · 191 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed NIP	60c	500$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	227	57.3%130 W · 97 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Heroic	41c	500$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Heroic	18c	489.06$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.11	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed NIP	54c	477.69$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.75	622	48.2%300 W · 322 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Heroic	36c	469.15$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.46	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Heroic	40c	450.01$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.87	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Heroic	29c	437.72$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.81	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked NIP	70c	430.89$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.89	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed NIP	60c	416.67$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	364	46.7%170 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic	36c	411.96$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.49	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic	48c	408.54$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.55	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic	33c	406.3$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.43	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic	39c	396.01$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.69	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Heroic	32c	391.57$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.92	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Heroic	40c	371.96$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Heroic	47c	328.15$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.83	254	40.6%103 W · 151 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed NIP	62c	322.58$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.58	159	62.9%100 W · 59 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP	60c	319.42$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.77	419	38.9%163 W · 256 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP	62c	315.41$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.86	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked NIP	60c	310.72$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.29	489	48.9%239 W · 250 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic	25c	309.56$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.35	613	38.2%234 W · 379 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed NIP	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	687	53.9%370 W · 317 L	-21.6wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Heroic	39c	288$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.99	286	51%146 W · 140 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed NIP	62c	275.77$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.79	200	59%118 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Heroic	37c	269.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	302	23.2%70 W · 232 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed Heroic	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed NIP	46c	255.13$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.89	552	36.2%200 W · 352 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed NIP	61c	250$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	858	51.6%443 W · 415 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed NIP	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	485	62.7%304 W · 181 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Heroic	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	138	34.8%48 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed NIP	47c	250$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.6	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Heroic	42c	242.52$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.19	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked NIP	62c	238.05$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.46	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked NIP	50c	235$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed NIP	61c	221.31$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.31	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP	64c	221$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.64	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9417…bbd3backed Heroic	43c	218.55$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.81	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Heroic	19c	217$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.37	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked NIP	62c	217$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.46	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…cfe3backed NIP	55c	212$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.39per pick	54cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Heroic	23c	210$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3edb…11b8backed Heroic	47c	208.95$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.11	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP	59c	200$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.41	558	45.7%255 W · 303 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed NIP	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	170	54.7%93 W · 77 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Heroic	32c	200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.67	1,676	51.1%857 W · 819 L	+21.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Heroic	52c	192.94$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP	68c	191.06$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.77	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked NIP	46c	189.47$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.13	302	36.8%111 W · 191 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked NIP	56c	181.63$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.68	304	50.7%154 W · 150 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed NIP	70c	178.67$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.57	163	55.2%90 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event