CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98243a23d22f4813008e31b10a2ba446fd9865d6f835e22dc2bcfbc6decbdf29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof NIP, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic | 60c | 8,388$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.27 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 67c | 6,101$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.13 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic | 49c | 3,156$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.05 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Heroic | 53c | 3,094$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.15 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 49c | 2,661$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.64 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Heroic | 46c | 2,144$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.02 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 51c | 1,945$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 53c | 1,750$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.15 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP | 63c | 1,750$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.5 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Heroic | 46c | 1,655$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.52 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 62c | 1,588$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Heroic | 62c | 1,587$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 53c | 1,566$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…317dbacked NIP | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 40c | 1,500$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 14c | 1,500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed NIP | 59c | 1,184$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.21 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 40c | 1,072$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Heroic | 74c | 967.12$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.37 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 54c | 943.23$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Heroic | 59c | 849.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic | 59c | 843.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.27 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 43c | 800$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.09 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Heroic | 24c | 800$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 56c | 766.67$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 48c | 750.25$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 45c | 735.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.96 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Heroic | 53c | 721.67$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed NIP | 59c | 675.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 53c | 650.26$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked NIP | 39c | 641.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Heroic | 21c | 639.64$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked NIP | 42c | 604$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Heroic | 53c | 577$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked NIP | 66c | 576.39$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Heroic | 51c | 543.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.85 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Heroic | 38c | 538.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.23 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed NIP | 63c | 517$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.56 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 53c | 504.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.22 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Heroic | 65c | 492.62$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 72c | 480$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 63c | 472.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Heroic | 42c | 468$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Heroic | 37c | 405.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed NIP | 59c | 402.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP | 40c | 379.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked NIP | 55c | 374.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic | 46c | 347.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.05 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 46c | 328.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed NIP | 45c | 325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Heroic | 76c | 313.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked NIP | 35c | 310.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 55c | 308.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Heroic | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Heroic | 27c | 295.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed NIP | 43c | 289.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Heroic | 52c | 283.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Heroic | 55c | 271.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Heroic | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…564ebacked NIP | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…1718backed Heroic | 44c | 228.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Heroic | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Heroic | 54c | 227.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed NIP | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…fab6backed NIP | 47c | 213.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP | 50c | 196.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP | 46c | 176.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Heroic | 66c | 174.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic | 23c | 172.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Heroic | 50c | 171.34$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Heroic | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94de…e3cabacked Heroic | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked NIP | 54c | 168.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Heroic | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed NIP | 39c | 164.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 30c | 160.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Heroic | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP | 51c | 145.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked NIP | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 55c | 129.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…2e57backed Heroic | 53c | 125.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 43c | 124$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NIP | 49c | 122.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked NIP | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 73c | 106.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Heroic | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Heroic | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.85 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked NIP | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed NIP | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Heroic | 72c | 98.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 52c | 97.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 47c | 93.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 67c | 89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Heroic | 48c | 88.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Heroic | 52c | 87.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Heroic | 54c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.