TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof NIP, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Heroic60c8,388$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.2763157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NIP67c6,101$4,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,096.131,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Heroic49c3,156$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.052,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heroic53c3,094$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.1546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP49c2,661$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.6461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Heroic46c2,144$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.027454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP51c1,945$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic53c1,750$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.1575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP63c1,750$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.517148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Heroic46c1,655$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.527139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP62c1,588$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.566,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Heroic62c1,587$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60310056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NIP53c1,566$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.84,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x705c…317dbacked NIP1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NIP40c1,500$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.82,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP14c1,500$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.857322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed NIP59c1,184$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.218361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP40c1,072$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.812,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Heroic74c967.12$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3723861.3%146 W · 92 L+0.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP54c943.23$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.394,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Heroic59c849.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4321346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Heroic59c843.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2716946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic43c800$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.092,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Heroic24c800$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.287152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP56c766.67$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.394,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP48c750.25$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.982,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP45c735.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.963,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Heroic53c721.67$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.679341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed NIP59c675.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP53c650.26$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.052,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked NIP39c641.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Heroic21c639.64$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.482040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked NIP42c604$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9238454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Heroic53c577$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1623949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked NIP66c576.39$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Heroic51c543.91$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Heroic38c538.23$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2326546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed NIP63c517$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.567553.3%40 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NIP53c504.31$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.223,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Heroic65c492.62$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.053537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP72c480$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.943,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP63c472.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Heroic42c468$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.952,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Heroic37c405.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9213147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed NIP59c402.94$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.816038.1%61 W · 99 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked NIP40c379.82$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9313834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked NIP55c374.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7728037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Heroic46c347.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP46c328.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.362,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed NIP45c325$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.258958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Heroic76c313.35$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked NIP35c310.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7816142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP55c308.94$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.771,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Heroic29c300$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21220755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Heroic27c295.92$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4743152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed NIP43c289.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12536446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Heroic52c283.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.149145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Heroic55c271.71$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7127961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Heroic47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.529246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc5…564ebacked NIP69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0197…1718backed Heroic44c228.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.163537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Heroic44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2735449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Heroic54c227.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5414545.5%66 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed NIP71c225.35$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…fab6backed NIP47c213.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NIP59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.431,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP50c196.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2944654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP46c176.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8113742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Heroic66c174.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4620059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic23c172.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Heroic50c171.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.372,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Heroic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked Heroic59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked NIP54c168.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5922447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Heroic60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed NIP39c164.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4262248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP30c160.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.561,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed Heroic51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.44643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP51c145.73$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.173,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked NIP76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NIP55c129.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3687047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…2e57backed Heroic53c125.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.523073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP43c124$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.865,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked NIP49c122.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7348948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0565662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked NIP17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5415337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NIP73c106.13$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.812,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Heroic48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1714639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Heroic26c103.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.851,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked NIP37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed NIP59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5917054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Heroic72c98.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6841475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NIP52c97.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.362,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic47c93.03$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6642154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked NIP64c89$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.789742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NIP67c89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.961,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Heroic48c88.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8421354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Heroic52c87.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0112761.4%78 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Heroic54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5719457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.