Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0357f760e337c64f62a83f89f0bc99faf22778453188878330cc39a535eaf68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc364…9653backed Yes | 17c | 3,479$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 13c | 3,345$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.79 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +94%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…df38backed Yes | 24c | 2,471$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…eb00backed Yes | 5c | 2,252$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 2,144$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,032$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…5ffdbacked Yes | 70c | 872.62$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 858.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 26c | 837.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 44c | 828.54$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…c565backed Yes | 7c | 806.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 15c | 787.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 32c | 745.63$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 74c | 707.09$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 77c | 629.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked Yes | 26c | 618.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…2065backed Yes | 28c | 529.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 4c | 518.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 61c | 511.4$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…d488backed Yes | 33c | 503.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…c1f3backed Yes | 72c | 500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 70c | 456.34$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…5528backed Yes | 64c | 449.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Yes | 50c | 383.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 3c | 373$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 71c | 368$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f6…4ba7backed Yes | 15c | 334.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 65c | 291.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…7c90backed Yes | 18c | 258.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 55c | 254.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 39c | 238.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 23c | 233.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 31c | 231.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4666backed No | 51c | 217.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bc…d1a9backed Yes | 35c | 199.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 47c | 197.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 189.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 9c | 181.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +165%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 36c | 176.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 172$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…7017backed No | 80c | 159.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…b7e2backed No | 64c | 156.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 17c | 151.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…3c89backed Yes | 9c | 148.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…f398backed Yes | 12c | 146.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0d…95f1backed No | 70c | 144.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…c635backed No | 68c | 143.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 13c | 134.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 108 | 79.6%86 W · 22 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…a3c9backed Yes | 35c | 117.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 22c | 114.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 26c | 111.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…cc6ebacked Yes | 31c | 103.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…1279backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked Yes | 20c | 93.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…0d5cbacked Yes | 48c | 91.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…327fbacked Yes | 39c | 91.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…31d6backed Yes | 35c | 91.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 33c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 33c | 84.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 13c | 84.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +240%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 19c | 81.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4d5ebacked Yes | 21c | 75.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…61cdbacked No | 70c | 71.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b4a4backed Yes | 36c | 55.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 24c | 53.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…2624backed Yes | 38c | 47.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 44c | 47.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…6edabacked Yes | 33c | 42.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e39dbacked No | 51c | 39.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…7f02backed No | 72c | 36.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…ec92backed Yes | 36c | 30.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…2ab7backed No | 61c | 26.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88c…9207backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked No | 65c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c57…1748backed Yes | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.