Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad67416f1aee0c26200848b8f663322d251946cdd552bd6c7a4ea262582ac73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 15c | 38,070$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,214$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 8c | 3,930$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,061$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 38c | 2,778$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.13 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,729$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 74c | 2,562$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…dae8backed No | 77c | 1,210$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 54c | 1,177$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…1993backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…0c7ebacked No | 50c | 957$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…6deabacked Yes | 29c | 951.88$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 30c | 905.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 74c | 894.77$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5d…2fafbacked Yes | 13c | 842.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…a7b4backed Yes | 17c | 832.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked No | 24c | 823.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 775$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +165%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 14c | 700$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 79c | 641.71$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 41c | 639.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 56c | 620.73$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.43 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…a86ebacked Yes | 3c | 607.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 3c | 561.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed No | 78c | 547.95$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 53cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 80c | 546.05$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…4ea2backed No | 61c | 524.94$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…d3eabacked Yes | 15c | 515.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 507.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…6910backed No | 73c | 461.07$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…ed29backed Yes | 57c | 430.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 62c | 426.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69be…c807backed Yes | 4c | 395.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…fa0bbacked Yes | 26c | 384.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 31c | 369$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…7c49backed Yes | 70c | 357.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 50c | 346.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 39c | 314.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 49c | 310.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 50c | 307.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +230%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 51c | 305$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…14febacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed Yes | 44c | 275$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770a…7d17backed Yes | 33c | 209.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…e270backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 71c | 199.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…f98abacked No | 59c | 169.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afe…01d4backed Yes | 47c | 165.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 12c | 160.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 50c | 156.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 74c | 151.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 21c | 151.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…2362backed No | 66c | 149.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 70c | 142.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 137.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 158 | 35.4%56 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 8c | 134.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…212ebacked No | 57c | 130.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…d5c1backed No | 78c | 129.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…1359backed Yes | 78c | 127.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…79dabacked Yes | 65c | 122.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 36c | 113.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…bdbbbacked No | 25c | 113.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 41c | 112.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 50c | 111.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada1…6b50backed Yes | 72c | 107.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…8f57backed Yes | 79c | 105.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…431abacked No | 38c | 105.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4e…7c90backed No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…45ebbacked Yes | 11c | 99.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b2…1296backed Yes | 11c | 90.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee7…4ea8backed Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 49c | 89.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 23c | 82.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes | 24c | 80.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…4e7abacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5106…22e6backed No | 56c | 70.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…aa41backed No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…0b29backed No | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…3c6fbacked No | 74c | 67.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 63.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 293 | 23.2%68 W · 225 L | -31.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked Yes | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd7…203fbacked Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…ecbfbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 34c | 57.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…8e8abacked No | 36c | 55.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…8ecfbacked No | 48c | 52.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…9fbdbacked Yes | 22c | 51.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…c0e7backed Yes | 59c | 50.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 29c | 48.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes | 73c | 48.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…d271backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.