Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7553ea24e9475665abd5b2f04c513d1f71456e06d23b66530c1dc7b58211ea14

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $96,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,335

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,482 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1635…5624backed No	34c	14,332$4,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,852.36	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf915…8720backed No	44c	8,776$3,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,902.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x407c…49aabacked No	8c	6,046$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.17	114	21.9%25 W · 89 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes	53c	3,541$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.76	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5735…239dbacked Yes	77c	2,111$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.85	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	13c	1,800$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.45	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x296d…70f9backed No	32c	1,768$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.13	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	1c	1,451$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Yes	74c	1,419$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.32	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	2c	1,400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	154	1.9%3 W · 151 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60bf…15aabacked Yes	70c	1,378$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	42c	1,374$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.62	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4292…4a08backed No	12c	1,372$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.43	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	37cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	8c	1,232$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.55	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…961fbacked No	19c	1,043$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.23	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…4723backed No	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed No	8c	1,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…97f4backed No	8c	999$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	109	48.6%53 W · 56 L	+11.9wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+54%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85c1…c1a4backed Yes	76c	920.83$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.62	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-67%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c90…5bacbacked No	17c	920$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked No	1c	910.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-74.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes	77c	883.59$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.36	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c2…41b8backed No	38c	879.1$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes	40c	853.37$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.81	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+168.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e8…ca50backed Yes	42c	827.69$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	31cpaid	+103.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes	43c	793.72$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.84	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9c…6b82backed Yes	51c	779.63$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…0906backed Yes	39c	762.98$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.44	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+12.8wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes	79c	669.95$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.92	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x553a…177fbacked No	70c	608$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.66	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a40…851abacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.25per pick	20cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb674…0184backed Yes	28c	500$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	44c	443$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.05	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae7…150cbacked Yes	41c	433.3$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.97	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No	14c	419.37$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.94	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc3…73d1backed No	58c	400$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd32…50cabacked Yes	50c	400$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.18	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+101%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No	7c	368.89$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	5c	358.93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	26c	315.55$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.94	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a34…7ca4backed No	19c	305.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	25c	300$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc456…8996backed No	18c	299.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…ba27backed Yes	67c	291.98$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.35	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	37c	290.33$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.04	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-48%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e9…0271backed Yes	71c	281.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+85.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed No	16c	270.93$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.35	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes	29c	265.84$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.39	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+11.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked No	63c	251.82$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.64	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	18c	250$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	17c	229$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.49	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	68c	227.01$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.81	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8004…cd61backed Yes	65c	225.38$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.88	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+4.5wins	+0.24per pick	40cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No	12c	208.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	111	7.2%8 W · 103 L	-12.9wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf239…3627backed Yes	39c	204.99$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.5	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5149…acd1backed Yes	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…a6eebacked No	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe82f…a089backed No	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	24c	184.41$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	193	36.3%70 W · 123 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	9c	174.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e16…5026backed No	36c	165.79$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.9	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8cb…1f21backed Yes	21c	165.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.85	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	18c	155$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.1	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	39cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b6…83d8backed Yes	12c	154.25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.74	80	17.5%14 W · 66 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	134	22.4%30 W · 104 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13ca…1b86backed Yes	40c	144.12$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.32	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed No	9c	142$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c3…cb75backed No	71c	123.75$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x291a…a405backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+265.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78c5…f623backed No	17c	106.34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.96	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7408…6197backed Yes	79c	103.09$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975d…01bebacked Yes	17c	100.26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.56	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+220.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ba…be9fbacked No	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.51	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ae…1dbabacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05fc…7339backed Yes	34c	99.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed Yes	18c	91.11$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…e7b4backed No	29c	86.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked No	52c	79.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.51	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3769…600fbacked Yes	40c	75.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.17	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.21per pick	45cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	18c	70$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.21per pick	26cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	31c	66.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.89	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf079…874dbacked Yes	49c	63.21$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.39	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5d…9ea3backed No	78c	60$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes	20c	57.09$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.67	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	48c	55$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	212	40.6%86 W · 126 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x121b…763dbacked Yes	42c	49.71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f25…81f6backed Yes	76c	46.05$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30d…0470backed Yes	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No	43c	38.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe450…91b9backed No	52c	36.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes	33c	35.88$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.92	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes	54c	30.93$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.26	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No	79c	23$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c12…1e71backed No	72c	20.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	69cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed No	74c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked No	70c	17.14$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ba…b46dbacked No	77c	14.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?this page
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Cap FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes won
Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Cap FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Cap FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event