AI · resolved market
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe94ae52c5ecfc54a8a308016894ea9732a5345afeeebc5860d1b3c2b5155338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 22c | 8,879$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.02 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 3c | 6,048$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 7c | 5,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +287.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…644fbacked No | 19c | 2,569$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 6c | 2,488$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.71 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 10c | 2,393$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.66 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…a0a4backed No | 3c | 2,333$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 2,177$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 8c | 2,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed No | 2c | 1,991$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 19c | 1,932$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.88 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01de…a558backed No | 15c | 1,927$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 7c | 1,650$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…ee82backed No | 2c | 1,631$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 13c | 1,557$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 8c | 1,504$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…003fbacked No | 5c | 1,440$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 1,150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 2c | 1,086$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed No | 46c | 1,051$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.28 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked No | 7c | 1,039$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 17c | 966.72$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 923.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 2c | 894.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 11c | 849$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…a140backed No | 1c | 755.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 3c | 705.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 70c | 697.48$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked No | 4c | 678.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1415…9752backed Yes | 38c | 676.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 6c | 670$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 2c | 635.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…aca6backed No | 15c | 570.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 5c | 558.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 71c | 550$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…d38ebacked No | 2c | 537.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…61babacked Yes | 36c | 520.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 509.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…bcdfbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 79c | 499.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…fde2backed No | 13c | 451.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 2c | 451.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 79c | 450.64$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 55c | 445.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962f…0649backed No | 3c | 412.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 36c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 47c | 381.74$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 24c | 368.39$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc8…dcccbacked No | 16c | 358.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked No | 4c | 308.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…0fc7backed Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 283.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 8c | 258.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 27c | 237.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 5c | 235.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 7c | 228.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 13c | 223.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2,281.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…c668backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 76c | 213.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 63c | 210$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…408ebacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +255%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 17c | 193.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 51c | 190.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…bae2backed No | 21c | 189.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 186$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 18c | 180.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 69c | 163.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…06abbacked Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…0d38backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 19c | 146.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 12c | 144.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 129.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 10c | 126.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed No | 16c | 125.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…485bbacked No | 12c | 124.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…4d41backed No | 10c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 65c | 117.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 69c | 116.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…b97bbacked Yes | 35c | 113.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 11c | 104.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 22c | 103.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed No | 18c | 87.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed No | 27c | 77.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…d271backed Yes | 48c | 72.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 54.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…6407backed Yes | 67c | 52.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 41c | 51.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 49c | 46.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed No | 65c | 45.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?this page
- Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?No won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?No won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?Yes won
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.