Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7da3878391b4ed1f1a4a4d6c11afd740b2730e3251c4ffddaf910f56348b6d5

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $310,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $182,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes	10c	83,878$8,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,515.86	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes	11c	50,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes	10c	30,402$3,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,040.24	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes	7c	21,043$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,478.62	188	30.9%58 W · 130 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	9c	13,249$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.42	122	59.8%73 W · 49 L	+11.6wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f6…37fcbacked Yes	2c	10,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes	13c	7,488$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.82	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Yes	15c	4,549$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes	7c	3,333$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.29	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Yes	12c	3,233$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	13c	3,091$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	485	39.2%190 W · 295 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Yes	7c	2,903$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.57	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Yes	0c	2,436$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes	7c	2,300$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.5	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Yes	11c	1,837$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.07	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d9…2e5fbacked Yes	12c	1,600$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-73%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	3c	1,522$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.06	237	36.7%87 W · 150 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	1,455$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.32	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b79…b838backed Yes	9c	1,400$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e13…b01bbacked Yes	10c	1,379$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.38	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes	9c	1,362$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.69	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes	9c	1,300$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf6…f213backed Yes	11c	1,269$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Yes	9c	1,142$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	172	51.2%88 W · 84 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes	4c	1,139$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6b…b46abacked Yes	9c	1,117$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f98…4490backed Yes	10c	1,114$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.09	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes	10c	1,096$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.59	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8c…077bbacked Yes	11c	999.98$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes	9c	898.73$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.7	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd445…6e49backed Yes	11c	799.98$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9b…4f46backed Yes	12c	715.57$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes	9c	704.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.95	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55e…735bbacked Yes	11c	700$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	9c	665.18$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	11c	634.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.53	67	26.9%18 W · 49 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	613.07$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes	7c	599.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	14c	505.31$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.99	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	97	40.2%39 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes	8c	499.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f07…53d1backed Yes	11c	461.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	217	39.2%85 W · 132 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes	12c	440$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	3c	415.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	14c	406$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.59	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d4a…0a8abacked Yes	11c	401.07$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc5…0528backed Yes	10c	400$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Yes	9c	396$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.64	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Yes	16c	375.53$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes	7c	367.49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes	10c	357.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.77	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	9c	339.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	311	43.4%135 W · 176 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	9c	334.43$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Yes	12c	315.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	630	32.5%205 W · 425 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14b7…aab1backed Yes	10c	296.6$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4734…003dbacked Yes	12c	291.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	9c	286.58$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7f4c…95b8backed Yes	20c	248.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes	12c	227.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582f…9cd5backed Yes	8c	219.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e4e6backed Yes	12c	213.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d6…62b2backed Yes	8c	210$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b39…8593backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	53	60.4%32 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4cc…d141backed Yes	12c	196.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9fab…9a70backed Yes	13c	185.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25dc…7636backed Yes	6c	179.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa08f…b2e2backed Yes	12c	169.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x70fb…9d50backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes	16c	149.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes	11c	145$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.95	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	13c	140.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	10c	134.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked Yes	17c	132.27$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f66…0f71backed Yes	10c	116.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcacf…c5e1backed Yes	11c	105.76$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…54f8backed Yes	12c	104.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	145	43.4%63 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b72…6380backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…684fbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca01…283fbacked Yes	13c	82.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa634…9080backed Yes	16c	82.18$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?this page
Will 1w Team Win The International 2026?No won
Will Aurora Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?No won
Will GamerLegion Win The International 2026?No won
Will HULIGANI Win The International 2026?No won
Will LGD Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?No won
Will OG Win The International 2026?No won
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?No won
Will Team Resilience Win The International 2026?No won
Will Team Yandex Win The International 2026?No won
Will Vici Gaming Win The International 2026?No won
Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event