TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes6c13,651$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.042138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Yes7c9,244$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.0510840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes5c8,206$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1123736.7%87 W · 150 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa00…f736backed Yes15c6,511$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.242070%14 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Yes8c4,888$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5114258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed Yes7c4,544$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29911045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes9c4,373$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.0112568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Yes8c4,100$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5118351.9%95 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Yes9c2,732$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Yes7c2,488$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3818830.9%58 W · 130 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes13c2,400$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes8c1,939$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…035bbacked Yes6c1,939$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.328057.5%46 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes5c1,665$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3313544.4%60 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes8c1,650$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.674418.2%8 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Yes8c1,313$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.515621.4%12 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes6c1,146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7810766.4%71 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes10c1,007$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Yes5c1,001$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0418452.2%96 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Yes6c999.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb16b…3a57backed Yes5c869.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Yes11c855.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.922259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes12c839.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f98…4490backed Yes7c804.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes8c800$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.238649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes12c720.23$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.432245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1dd…e8f3backed Yes14c705.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Yes9c702.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.527839.7%31 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d4a…0a8abacked Yes12c701.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c692.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5837832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…7c88backed Yes15c680.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Yes4c659.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes7c653.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.541010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f07…53d1backed Yes8c610.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021739.2%85 W · 132 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes6c540.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…9c68backed Yes8c530.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Yes8c525.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037456.4%211 W · 163 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb866…3302backed Yes9c521.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8e…4cacbacked Yes6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes6c471.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.27110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc066…1989backed Yes4c469.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Yes7c434.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes4c425$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b5…db17backed Yes7c403.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes5c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes6c400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd445…6e49backed Yes11c385.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a3…4984backed Yes14c370.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabd…f562backed Yes12c356.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa443…0b61backed Yes8c336$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.781172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f7e…426fbacked Yes6c330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc5…0528backed Yes11c324.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.751030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes7c317$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c8e…4ad8backed Yes13c312.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes4c312.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…fbccbacked Yes12c299.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610539%41 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda6…6ae0backed Yes7c299.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.536051.9%187 W · 173 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes8c295.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes7c293.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.582250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96e9…e26dbacked Yes7c282.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfe…74e6backed Yes12c272.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes10c263.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3645139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…70f8backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+131%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3795…4c73backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Yes8c220$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce67…14ddbacked Yes13c213.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfd5…7b91backed Yes5c209$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149248.9%45 W · 47 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x031d…610abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…2b73backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+79.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d6b…f0aebacked Yes9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42035%7 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ca…6636backed Yes9c195.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick48cpaid+74.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22c8…819bbacked Yes11c187.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Yes12c185.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes7c179.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes7c152.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+47%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Yes7c142.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8d…22d5backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes13c114.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…f22cbacked Yes11c104.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414543.4%63 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8a…7d5cbacked Yes13c80.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25dc…7636backed Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.