Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684c23649305e53fcfb6180b3187c055f412af4d2a4fa8a0fa1b442dbf3d06be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11a6…588bbacked Yes | 21c | 3,460$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…0a46backed Yes | 15c | 3,340$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 17c | 3,151$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 9c | 1,892$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 79c | 1,682$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,533$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,326$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,249$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 1,157$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.19 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1db…abd4backed Yes | 21c | 1,088$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 607.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 30c | 580.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked Yes | 12c | 545.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 15c | 534.7$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 526.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed Yes | 26c | 491.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 80c | 427.2$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 4c | 384.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…d0d9backed Yes | 19c | 313.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b87…b617backed Yes | 41c | 306.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f7edbacked Yes | 27c | 299.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed Yes | 27c | 293.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 278.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 253.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…e253backed No | 79c | 252.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes | 8c | 244.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 17c | 242.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 9c | 240$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 19cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 15c | 228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 201.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 182.53$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…a039backed Yes | 7c | 173$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 78c | 165.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…9d90backed Yes | 32c | 157.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…1038backed Yes | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 7c | 148.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 20c | 148.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…9568backed Yes | 8c | 147.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 141.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…6827backed Yes | 22c | 135.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…d668backed Yes | 28c | 119.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 21c | 113.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…543bbacked Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…3158backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…889fbacked Yes | 19c | 103.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…212ebacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…648fbacked Yes | 17c | 99.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…7524backed Yes | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 12c | 97.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…779fbacked Yes | 21c | 97.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Yes | 42c | 96.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 85.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 13c | 82.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…f2cabacked No | 74c | 74.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4511…918fbacked Yes | 36c | 70.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ff0ebacked Yes | 18c | 69.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +99%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…df6cbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…99f7backed Yes | 20c | 57.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…c4d1backed Yes | 19c | 57.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…cbc4backed No | 79c | 52.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…b94ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 24c | 47.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…5132backed Yes | 29c | 44.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…1388backed Yes | 27c | 40.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…8d4dbacked No | 74c | 34.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 78c | 33.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 67c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…3134backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 78c | 24.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 65c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 68c | 20.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.