Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e3348bf7d47a67b7858ac0efda7dab1ee72a3e5b8f7e4ed0992509d214e809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 8c | 3,964$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed Yes | 60c | 3,165$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…17e8backed Yes | 1c | 3,047$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…c5b6backed Yes | 74c | 2,865$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,302$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 30c | 2,140$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…74f3backed Yes | 68c | 1,768$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,630$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 11c | 1,490$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 45c | 1,405$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.61 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 27c | 1,311$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.07 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 9c | 896.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 838.99$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 806.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 745.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.39 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 626$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 11c | 539.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked Yes | 8c | 468.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659a…9568backed Yes | 6c | 465.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…71c1backed Yes | 13c | 448.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1db…abd4backed Yes | 17c | 422.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 49c | 411.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 57cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 6c | 398.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…f7edbacked Yes | 35c | 376.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed Yes | 25c | 293.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 35c | 292.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 10c | 278.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb8…1fe9backed Yes | 38c | 277.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 267.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 265.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…35cdbacked Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 67c | 238.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…aef5backed Yes | 10c | 230.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 227.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…d1b7backed Yes | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 215$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…543bbacked Yes | 7c | 209.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 140 | 31.4%44 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 18c | 193$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 163.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…fb84backed Yes | 9c | 160.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 7c | 158.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 9c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 132.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…7d5dbacked Yes | 25c | 132.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 46c | 126.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 124.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…5f29backed Yes | 17c | 118.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +116%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1313backed Yes | 19c | 113.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…648fbacked Yes | 12c | 103.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…cc69backed Yes | 27c | 95.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 16c | 94.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…64bcbacked Yes | 11c | 94.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 13c | 89.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 33c | 89.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 60c | 89.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…dfc5backed Yes | 55c | 88.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 78c | 83.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…fd1abacked Yes | 62c | 80.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked Yes | 26c | 80.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 20c | 77.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 19cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x626c…b571backed Yes | 70c | 75.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 34c | 66.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…67adbacked Yes | 33c | 59.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 58.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 61c | 50.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 72c | 44.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4304…5e7bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 60c | 38.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 43c | 34.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…623abacked Yes | 44c | 34.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed Yes | 32c | 32.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…03cfbacked Yes | 37c | 28.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 17.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 69c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.