Token Launches · resolved market
Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dd3e79c214514c38f4a1a9bb219639ce7ba3fd5b56b32ed7766bd12e28387d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c2…a8c7backed No | 63c | 3,358$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.72 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…eca8backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Yes | 42c | 1,636$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.76 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…ba03backed Yes | 26c | 1,631$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 45c | 1,583$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…cc2abacked Yes | 59c | 1,536$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 46c | 1,500$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed Yes | 51c | 1,445$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.45 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 13c | 1,421$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…8c4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,408$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 13c | 1,200$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…6bbcbacked Yes | 60c | 1,175$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…a58ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,100$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 11c | 1,022$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 50c | 834.33$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 42c | 762.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…a292backed No | 74c | 743.94$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…e75dbacked No | 72c | 700$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed No | 65c | 700$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.42 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 52c | 565.79$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 48c | 500.21$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed No | 35c | 371.53$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 28c | 346.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 35c | 343.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…c5c4backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 11c | 290$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 30c | 278.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…e487backed No | 48c | 247.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 10c | 202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 65c | 189.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 188.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 35c | 177.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…f6b4backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…d477backed Yes | 57c | 158.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…42d2backed Yes | 34c | 152$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…05fdbacked No | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 148.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…6f28backed No | 17c | 146.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 56c | 146.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed No | 22c | 138.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 45c | 127.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 47c | 123.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 70c | 122.39$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…cd61backed Yes | 30c | 119.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd2…c545backed No | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked No | 61c | 106.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 40c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…66b2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 32c | 99.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 53c | 99.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b69…66b0backed Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf43…aa35backed Yes | 61c | 92.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 23c | 89.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed Yes | 53c | 87.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 43c | 73.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 55c | 56.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…d00abacked Yes | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 46c | 50.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 78c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 35c | 44.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…5ff5backed No | 52c | 43.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 50c | 40.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…ec45backed Yes | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…6f68backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 54c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…2c6fbacked No | 50c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Squid FDV above $100M one day after launchthis page
- Squid FDV above $200M one day after launchNo won
- Squid FDV above $300M one day after launchNo won
- Squid FDV above $30M one day after launchYes won
- Squid FDV above $400M one day after launchNo won
- Squid FDV above $40M one day after launchYes won
- Squid FDV above $50M one day after launchYes won
- Squid FDV above $600M one day after launchNo won
- Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.