Fifa International · resolved market
France leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae44160bf4839246ff5b6fe6d07b4eacd2464789dc4db02211cf95d5754e3d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,367,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,391,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,367,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 298,404$138,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,376.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 257,729$145,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,857.4 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 62c | 75,000$46,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,249.94 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 71,604$41,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,465.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 54,455$21,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,288.55 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 50,000$31,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,526.22 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 63c | 49,891$31,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,272.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 58c | 45,399$26,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,952.1 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 40,817$15,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,699.43 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed No | 48c | 40,651$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,151.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed No | 36c | 32,866$11,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,034.18 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 63c | 31,614$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 64c | 31,442$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 16c | 30,892$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 29,683$10,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700.25 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 27,603$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,402.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 42c | 27,254$11,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,570 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 64c | 25,865$16,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,553.69 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 37c | 25,342$9,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,045.87 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked Yes | 64c | 22,866$14,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,634.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…f601backed No | 36c | 22,723$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,542.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Yes | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.91 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 39c | 19,058$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,625.37 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 39c | 18,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,979.99 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 17,812$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,122.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 17,567$6,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,959.33 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 37c | 16,659$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,450.89 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 63c | 16,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 37c | 12,500$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.92 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 12,170$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 54c | 11,761$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 41c | 11,095$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,535.05 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 59c | 10,800$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,356.98 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 37c | 9,300$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,858.93 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.02 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 74c | 7,656$5,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.87 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 44c | 7,106$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 45c | 6,962$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820.95 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 39c | 6,637$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.83 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed No | 39c | 6,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 53c | 5,875$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 69c | 5,537$3,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.85 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 39c | 5,440$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.33 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 39c | 5,033$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.33 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 61c | 4,951$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.61 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 38c | 4,948$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.76 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 51c | 4,924$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.31 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 64c | 4,874$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.78 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 38c | 4,788$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.25 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 38c | 4,215$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.18 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 52c | 4,124$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…fb48backed No | 37c | 4,014$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.51 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed No | 39c | 3,879$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.49 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 3,748$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 3,710$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.29 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 37c | 3,264$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.31 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…2938backed Yes | 63c | 3,193$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 37c | 3,092$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.71 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 63c | 2,995$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.06 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 36c | 2,659$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.88 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 43c | 2,605$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.85 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed No | 42c | 2,538$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 40c | 2,522$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.01 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…a053backed Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 2,435$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.51 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 38c | 2,400$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 70c | 2,354$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.04 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 59c | 2,342$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.78 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 2,320$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.06 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 43c | 2,097$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.11 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 63c | 2,024$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 41c | 2,017$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 47c | 1,877$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.6 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 49c | 1,821$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.51 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 44c | 1,746$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.99 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes | 62c | 1,604$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.2 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 1,599$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.76 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…4383backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…409fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,584$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.83 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 50c | 1,519$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.15 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 40c | 1,511$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.99 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France leading at halftime?this page
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.