Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2448b945c333084d08ee9d428a9045c5bbf575213f0bcad72c3f5df7ef42d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 102,818$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yes | 6c | 48,448$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.91 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 27,116$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.87 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 16,127$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.41 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 5c | 8,273$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.67 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 6c | 7,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,505$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 5,337$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 5,148$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…2f89backed Yes | 1c | 3,641$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 5c | 3,559$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 4c | 2,684$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 4c | 2,492$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…d39fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,981$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…10d5backed Yes | 7c | 1,595$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 6c | 1,543$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 3c | 1,166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 1,112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,033$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 5c | 1,018$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 6c | 1,011$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 6c | 717.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…683fbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 6c | 480.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 443.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 3c | 433$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 5c | 392.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…15f7backed Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Yes | 5c | 354.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 139 | 22.3%31 W · 108 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 305$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…3522backed Yes | 7c | 294.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…02bbbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Yes | 6c | 269.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 6c | 243.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 6c | 225$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 7c | 215$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…f322backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…ce83backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay leading at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.