Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c9a34180c7ee4718797882e92d00b57dd0cbcd4fa4baea33223519b0be744f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 113,454$71,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,056.79 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 29,923$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 29,742$12,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,066.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 26,410$11,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,376.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 17,594$12,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,020.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 16,765$11,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,412 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes | 33c | 11,959$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.81 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 11,472$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.86 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 33c | 9,001$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.59 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 74c | 8,666$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.47 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 36c | 7,673$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,910.59 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 6,621$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,630$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.1 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 33c | 5,228$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 4,752$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 31c | 4,677$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.42 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,525$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.16 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 31c | 4,100$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…2f89backed No | 2c | 3,244$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 45c | 2,825$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.74 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 40c | 2,718$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.29 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…d96bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,493$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.57 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 50c | 2,435$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.94 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 32c | 2,178$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.58 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.71 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 1,754$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.2 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 27c | 1,743$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.28 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 37c | 1,437$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 1,100$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.46 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,043$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.67 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 42c | 975.22$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 70c | 915.1$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.56 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 68c | 730.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 17c | 726.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d7…bb84backed Yes | 78c | 669.57$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 659.99$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.19 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…b271backed Yes | 49c | 621.73$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.08 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 553.76$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…917cbacked Yes | 56c | 522.86$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 48c | 521.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 59c | 519.33$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 33c | 512$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.04 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 170 | 52.9%90 W · 80 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 31c | 483.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.83 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed No | 69c | 471.52$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.35 | 249 | 50.2%125 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 455.25$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 38c | 441.81$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 379.09$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.35 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 362.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.13 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 58c | 346.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.85 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 31c | 321.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…ddf6backed No | 25c | 278.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 73c | 273.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 67c | 260$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…7d39backed Yes | 79c | 253.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 48c | 250.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.81 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf88…fcb0backed Yes | 31c | 241.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Yes | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes | 32c | 229.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 67c | 224$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…9eabbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Yes | 31c | 220.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 68c | 209.76$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked Yes | 31c | 206$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…f0f7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 68c | 187.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.85 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…1857backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 24c | 175.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…edcabacked Yes | 62c | 160.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…cbc2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 155.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 68c | 155.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 31c | 154.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…62fabacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Yes | 33c | 150.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 48c | 146.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 34c | 142.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 31c | 129.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…5876backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 68c | 126.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Yes | 66c | 109.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…8413backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: Draw at halftime?this page
- France leading at halftime?No won
- Paraguay leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.