TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$554,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 747 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b8e…acb5backed Golden Knights50c34,854$17,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,426.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1024…2a59backed Jets50c34,798$17,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,39910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Jets52c32,506$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets65c31,453$20,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,444.471,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Golden Knights58c30,243$17,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,616.5538748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights49c27,000$13,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,759.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Jets52c19,673$10,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,187.2510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights36c13,933$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,924.9338738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights44c12,590$5,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,067.912,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jets50c10,200$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10033243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Jets51c10,101$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.6122550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0c…3026backed Golden Knights49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.991266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Golden Knights51c9,800$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.761553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights45c8,738$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.8461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Golden Knights45c8,419$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.492065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets50c7,495$3,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.161,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Jets50c7,000$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53029651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets51c6,440$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.9283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights26c5,712$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,222.0258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Jets51c5,322$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.185752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Golden Knights48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6008252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Golden Knights50c4,800$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40012552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Jets71c4,698$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,331.9357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Jets51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2955152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights41c4,383$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.862,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Jets12c3,877$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Jets72c3,787$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+70.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Golden Knights53c3,757$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.755853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Golden Knights30c3,690$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.275969.5%41 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Jets55c3,646$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights50c3,556$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Golden Knights31c3,494$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.374050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Golden Knights35c3,375$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.7533345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights32c3,058$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.0834538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ca…679bbacked Golden Knights33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.991020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Jets2c2,917$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.332174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights47c2,860$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.751,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets65c2,788$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.2289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights45c2,772$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.832,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights37c2,663$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.4499638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c2,444$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.447450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e7…d8a4backed Golden Knights50c2,410$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights49c2,405$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights48c2,289$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.7848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Golden Knights48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab65…f5d2backed Golden Knights50c1,850$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcead…1d57backed Jets50c1,816$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Jets53c1,800$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d11…6096backed Golden Knights50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Golden Knights48c1,774$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.5310451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights49c1,703$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden Knights49c1,657$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.228450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Golden Knights31c1,643$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.729926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34e9…bf38backed Jets4c1,507$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a23…17ccbacked Jets51c1,425$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2208…2fa1backed Golden Knights49c1,424$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights26c1,423$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.1943742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a5…98f9backed Golden Knights49c1,421$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…9ed4backed Jets51c1,421$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb761…c15dbacked Golden Knights49c1,419$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…0a74backed Jets51c1,419$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5722…eab7backed Golden Knights49c1,418$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.18520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa726…1813backed Jets51c1,418$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…17f2backed Golden Knights49c1,418$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f58…a13dbacked Jets51c1,418$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…32c1backed Jets51c1,411$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ca…df99backed Golden Knights49c1,411$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3343…df2ebacked Golden Knights49c1,409$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ee…6414backed Jets51c1,409$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf79…8d8fbacked Jets51c1,407$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b32…37ebbacked Golden Knights49c1,407$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…448bbacked Golden Knights49c1,393$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf091…123bbacked Jets51c1,393$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa92…6c15backed Jets51c1,390$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.9875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6321…d4f5backed Golden Knights49c1,390$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70ff…9635backed Golden Knights49c1,364$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.64825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cf8…a184backed Jets51c1,364$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf014…7d72backed Jets51c1,350$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x044a…9c3ebacked Golden Knights49c1,350$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8686…710bbacked Golden Knights49c1,345$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3d…7b6ebacked Jets51c1,345$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…9c12backed Golden Knights49c1,339$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.89825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc8…84f9backed Jets51c1,339$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4932…8fa7backed Jets51c1,333$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6125…fcdfbacked Golden Knights49c1,333$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc9…db2bbacked Jets51c1,331$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.81757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…9b57backed Golden Knights49c1,331$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.81785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+78.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5234…8918backed Golden Knights49c1,327$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…fbc8backed Jets51c1,327$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.77825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Golden Knights50c1,326$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.159550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7791…752ebacked Jets51c1,324$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.24933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7712…3f37backed Golden Knights49c1,324$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ee…7a1fbacked Golden Knights49c1,315$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc93a…7440backed Jets51c1,315$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d35…4b7ebacked Jets51c1,314$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…e16cbacked Golden Knights49c1,314$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a9…cd6abacked Golden Knights49c1,308$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4f…9fbcbacked Jets51c1,308$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.08825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadd9…bd84backed Jets51c1,307$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.