NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b84220df5f876365ac61053c0215538e89c47e1ee4935ded812f5209933fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 43,764$21,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,006.74 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Over | 52c | 31,507$16,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,123.95 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 13,612$7,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 6,085$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.59 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 5,754$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.95 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 2,449$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.91 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 2,205$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.18 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 2,045$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 51c | 1,611$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.44 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 1,300$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.25 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 51c | 1,004$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.92 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 967.53$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.65 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 14c | 447.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Under | 48c | 434.41$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 38c | 215.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 52c | 192.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 25c | 160$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 144.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 143.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 53c | 123.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8570backed Over | 51c | 115.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 88.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 52c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Over | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 58.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 51.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0085…77cbbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…8ca5backed Under | 50c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…c6e1backed Under | 50c | 41.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 55c | 40.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 50c | 40.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Under | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 35.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…f882backed Under | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Under | 49c | 22.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 50c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. JetsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Jets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.