NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c02562bdc4db088b0560f9e99e0f890a8f3db6bb52e526b3523171b01c6b49f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Golden Knights, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 30c | 2,491$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets | 70c | 809.93$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets | 70c | 728$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 70c | 429$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Jets | 72c | 323$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Jets | 72c | 189$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Jets | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Jets | 71c | 102.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Golden Knights | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Jets | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Jets | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Golden Knights | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…15d9backed Golden Knights | 30c | 49.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Golden Knights | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Golden Knights | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Golden Knights | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Jets | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Golden Knights | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Golden Knights | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Golden Knights | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Jets | 71c | 32.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Jets | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jets | 71c | 24.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jets | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Golden Knights vs. JetsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.