Earnings · resolved market
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1696b9be75450b5c8f219d111e48bcfa9515a21898d8cb073e10ea6688e777bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x943b…fe84backed No | 73c | 782.79$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 28c | 619.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 64c | 543.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 49c | 539.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.25 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 46c | 421.59$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…0b1dbacked Yes | 3c | 386.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…32d3backed Yes | 34c | 294.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed No | 72c | 293.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed No | 72c | 279.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed No | 72c | 276.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 40c | 256.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 73c | 244.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 47c | 212.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…471abacked No | 56c | 179.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 28c | 178.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 32c | 177.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 33c | 173.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 34c | 164.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…6a8ebacked No | 65c | 153.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…401abacked No | 74c | 153.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 33c | 150.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…8f9cbacked No | 68c | 146.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…13fbbacked No | 70c | 142.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 140.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e0…75b7backed No | 74c | 134.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed No | 75c | 132.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 28c | 131.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…1028backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked No | 77c | 106.06$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…97edbacked Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 44c | 99.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 31c | 94.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 46c | 87.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…79f6backed No | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed77…d9d0backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 79.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 25c | 74.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 59c | 68.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 68.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…6d20backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…5a73backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 46c | 63.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…6dd5backed No | 70c | 61.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…b7f8backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 72c | 55.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…838bbacked Yes | 46c | 50.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…dd0fbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…9e89backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 40c | 40.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…4c6cbacked No | 74c | 40.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3693…c9afbacked Yes | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 61c | 39.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 40c | 38.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 37c | 37.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…a63cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…af64backed No | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 42c | 31.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…3236backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…cdacbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…a7e0backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…db69backed No | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…54a2backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 76c | 24.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6930…c231backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…5e6cbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…048abacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…7399backed No | 70c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed No | 72c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.