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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Northern Illinois Huskiesof Massachusetts Minutemen, Northern Illinois Huskies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen51c2,782$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Massachusetts Minutemen58c2,198$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.497965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Illinois Huskies45c1,859$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a7…5314backed Massachusetts Minutemen29c1,753$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Northern Illinois Huskies64c1,642$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.764035%14 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen1c1,399$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.553993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Northern Illinois Huskies34c1,032$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.1246446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Northern Illinois Huskies47c863.79$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.952,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Massachusetts Minutemen37c718.06$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4416135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Massachusetts Minutemen49c693.07$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.472,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Illinois Huskies37c506.58$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.313,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen47c431$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Northern Illinois Huskies54c392.27$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.698937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf559…351dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen29c390.19$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Northern Illinois Huskies57c328.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts Minutemen40c285.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.562,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2b…37e2backed Northern Illinois Huskies71c283.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+225.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Massachusetts Minutemen37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Illinois Huskies53c262.85$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.261,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northern Illinois Huskies27c250$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.51,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Illinois Huskies56c249.05$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.283,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen43c213.92$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.654,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0b…cdfcbacked Northern Illinois Huskies62c170.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Northern Illinois Huskies55c167$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Northern Illinois Huskies24c144.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.241,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Northern Illinois Huskies71c141.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen39c139.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.823544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Massachusetts Minutemen41c122.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…ca33backed Northern Illinois Huskies34c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.62030%6 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Massachusetts Minutemen38c96.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.697250%36 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Massachusetts Minutemen75c89.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.292343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen41c82.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Massachusetts Minutemen80c69$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6570…32ccbacked Northern Illinois Huskies71c63.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.362839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Massachusetts Minutemen68c58.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Northern Illinois Huskies62c52.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Northern Illinois Huskies60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2064322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Massachusetts Minutemen37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Massachusetts Minutemen40c49.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-60.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4bc…963cbacked Massachusetts Minutemen23c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.015869%40 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…d868backed Massachusetts Minutemen59c44.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Massachusetts Minutemen71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Northern Illinois Huskies66c42.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Massachusetts Minutemen76c41.21$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Massachusetts Minutemen75c41.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0419057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Massachusetts Minutemen36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Massachusetts Minutemen34c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.923330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd4…f4d3backed Massachusetts Minutemen53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…4f15backed Northern Illinois Huskies57c35.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.111070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2811…13cdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x766e…5e85backed Massachusetts Minutemen74c27.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e4…3384backed Northern Illinois Huskies77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts Minutemen62c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.022,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen69c20.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.454447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Massachusetts Minutemen76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.225946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e41…891abacked Northern Illinois Huskies80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.