MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x865ac5b1fdc1706ca8cf0f25cc63544b5abcbb6819e25d52d9ac3ee4b3446726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,052,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 756 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 431,055$184,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,267.68 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 406,300$179,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,802.01 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 401,738$224,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,764.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 302,505$169,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,479.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 251,631$146,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,723.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 250,555$110,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,244.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 141,942$76,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,293.45 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 57,840$31,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.6 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 48,629$22,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,369.45 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 41,681$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 39,193$14,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,513.93 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 29,049$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.9 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 26,564$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,564.06 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 21,843$12,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,829.35 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 19,281$7,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,326.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…4108backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 18,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,960 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 17,391$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,478.19 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 16,738$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 16,606$10,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 16,476$8,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,014.72 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 15,811$8,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 12,835$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.91 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 12,735$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe957…0ad1backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 12,199$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…d8f8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 11,899$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 11,328$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,307.22 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 10,933$6,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,870$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Atlanta Braves | 74c | 10,592$7,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.4 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 10,369$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.37 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 9,789$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.63 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 8,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 7,955$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 7,669$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.46 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.83 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe982…f001backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 6,844$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 6,296$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.9 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 30c | 5,940$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.92 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 5,818$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.73 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 5,762$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.54 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 5,636$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 5,212$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 5,032$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.05 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,746$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.34 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 4,657$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 4,520$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.67 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.93 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,953$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.32 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 3,752$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,670$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 3,581$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.92 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 3,557$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.14 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,556$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 3,522$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,343$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,161$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 3,143$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,027$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,841$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.04 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 2,494$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.97 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,460$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.63 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,398$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.1 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 2,344$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.89 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,337$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.07 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 2,259$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Miami Marlins | 15c | 2,246$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.01 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 2,232$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.22 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,176$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,150$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.61 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,079$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…9453backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,992$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,922$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.4 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,892$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,866$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 1,814$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 1,809$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.87 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 1,775$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.97 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…3a5ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,720$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.81 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,634$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.31 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.