MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf136ab2ba69f5b2c519090f8428056409951c878041f28cb221a5be0050d070a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 21,307$14,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,525.37 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 13,346$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,382.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 7,351$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 4,767$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.35 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 4,761$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 4,649$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.4 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 4,499$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.74 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,549$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 3,397$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.66 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…52d1backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,989$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.71 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,360$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.39 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,354$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.71 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,138$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,790$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.43 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,656$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.36 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,531$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.21 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,453$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.21 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,043$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.79 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 905.61$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 881$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.65 | 2,314 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L | +26.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 871$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.47 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 830.56$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 823.72$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 622.23$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 607.39$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.21 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 604.61$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.78 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 22c | 586$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.48 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 536.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.75 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 508$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 1,889 | 52.9%1,000 W · 889 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 501.24$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.68 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 488.89$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.89 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 449.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 580 | 51.7%300 W · 280 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 351.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…e617backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 326.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 315.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 759 | 44.4%337 W · 422 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 293.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 267.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 243.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 195 | 35.9%70 W · 125 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8588backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 199.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 192.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 186.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 179.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 174.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 166.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 156.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…e44ebacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 155.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 140.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 132.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 413 | 41.2%170 W · 243 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Atlanta Braves | 22c | 124$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 119$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 112.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 108.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Atlanta Braves | 27c | 91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f8…17f1backed Atlanta Braves | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 81.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 72.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7067…38dbbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 3,465 | 51.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L | +105.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…5f9cbacked Atlanta Braves | 28c | 53.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed Atlanta Braves | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 49.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 44.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,376 | 54.3%747 W · 629 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 181 | 53.6%97 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…5753backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 39.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 1,734 | 50.4%874 W · 860 L | +57.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 36.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 3,857 | 42.3%1,632 W · 2,225 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.