Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c99a1ed03f169b1315c268668eb0a143db129b47c53abd98f58be94e8fd0a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 4,125$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 49c | 3,447$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.86 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 504$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Under | 62c | 449.4$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…5632backed Under | 51c | 378.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 53c | 236.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed Over | 45c | 234.87$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 56c | 159$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 87.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 63.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Under | 51c | 58.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75f…6960backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 144.5this page
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech Bulldogs won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Over won
- Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (-1.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.