TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$778,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$792,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $778,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c679,974$353,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,509.735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c200,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c120,000$57,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,40021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under48c120,000$57,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,40069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,00030249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Under50c35,966$18,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,938.1312754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,00090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c24,177$11,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,570.31,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Over51c13,127$6,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,759.822646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e7…84dfbacked Under48c8,400$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3681540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Under50c7,573$3,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.312729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under48c6,591$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.562653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5506758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Under52c4,385$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.756543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+79.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83616954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under50c2,287$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.759947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02012054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9812358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Over50c1,999$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,807$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,321$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c1,036$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.182,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3006848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over11c502.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.543,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under51c415.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.15959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c361.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.824,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under50c337.74$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.879543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under50c219.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11019848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e07…80d1backed Under54c209.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.921662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Under51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.666144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ae…e7b8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57335.6%26 W · 47 L-9.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e70…9a38backed Under53c147.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.17560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under50c145.23$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6211159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under50c129.6$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.816755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Under50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under50c124.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.486065%39 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.444,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.87957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under48c119.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3913940.3%56 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd4…83bdbacked Over51c116.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under50c115.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.619657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under50c114.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4910049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under48c100.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1812341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5214151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.518846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…5bc9backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over52c84.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.163941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b19…12c5backed Over50c77.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under50c76.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.387251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd0…a26dbacked Under57c71.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939a…2f45backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under50c58.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b79…a497backed Under51c57.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.983473.5%25 W · 9 L+7.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under53c51.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under50c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a02…ba2cbacked Under51c48.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Under52c47.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.663554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under50c43.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.764951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over45c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Under50c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.673161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2598…5e58backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Over45c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.517258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c36.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over45c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under49c25.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0912355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…a994backed Under51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.254868.8%33 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c23.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under50c23.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5212560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under49c20.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.625763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe1c1…275ebacked Under50c20.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…462fbacked Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under56c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.923441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.