Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd79d114eb41e94d3e0201a5a81624dedf05643132080a9861772df87de3d184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd802…e262backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 0c | 7,944$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 1c | 5,810$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 2c | 4,719$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 3,876$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 2,244$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 2,201$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.65 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 2,041$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…7007backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 1,534$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 1,448$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 1,369$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 1,343$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…c80fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 1,320$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a22…7f1cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 1,070$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…5c89backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 1,050$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…2186backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 993.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5fe5backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 974$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…f819backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386f…3c28backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 900$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 878.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…376dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 833$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…19d0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 826$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…4669backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 810$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 806$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…bfcdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 802$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 691.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 655.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…2ca3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 623$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…00bfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 604.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 578.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 4c | 567.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 12c | 544.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 513.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 492.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 474$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…fa2ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 4c | 317.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 6c | 289.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 265.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 7c | 228.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 220.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…bd7abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 14c | 163.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 149.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 149.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 8c | 146$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 119$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…48c1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 14c | 77.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersthis page
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-14.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
- Spread: Appalachian State Mountaineers (-15.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.