TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b32…bd7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.99
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$41.4
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+112.4%+$52.92
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$129.8
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$354.16
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$45.59
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+106.5%+$825.26
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$122
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+32.4%+$118.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$7.6
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.4%+$66.13
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$81.7
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$105.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$113.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.66
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230.99
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$298.24
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$295
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35.3%+$78.3
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.83
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+150%+$44.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.2%+$152.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$138
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.