NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4605930e3bbfd6d8c7cb0fbea8967e9ba65f63b6b66a02712d92d8a136c47583
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Ducks, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,088,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,122,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,088,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 882 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Ducks | 30c | 249,304$74,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,791.11 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Oilers | 70c | 200,000$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.94 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 30c | 52,503$15,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750.75 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 70c | 47,973$33,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,374.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Oilers | 70c | 46,900$32,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,070 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Oilers | 74c | 37,873$27,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,970.28 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers | 72c | 30,043$21,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,417.13 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Oilers | 70c | 28,885$20,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,728.14 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 30c | 24,611$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,457.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Ducks | 30c | 20,301$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.56 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 69c | 18,310$12,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.21 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Oilers | 70c | 16,838$11,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.42 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Oilers | 70c | 14,815$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.48 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 19c | 14,444$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.91 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Oilers | 70c | 14,016$9,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.53 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 32c | 13,000$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 14c | 12,314$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Ducks | 33c | 11,525$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.11 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Ducks | 40c | 10,997$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 31c | 10,968$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Oilers | 70c | 10,200$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ducks | 20c | 9,269$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.02 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Ducks | 37c | 8,324$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers | 70c | 7,680$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Ducks | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…cc45backed Ducks | 1c | 7,153$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 32c | 6,505$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.49 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Oilers | 68c | 6,471$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.59 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 69c | 6,033$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Ducks | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Oilers | 69c | 5,993$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.78 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Oilers | 56c | 5,949$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Ducks | 33c | 5,605$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Oilers | 73c | 5,590$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 30c | 4,457$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Ducks | 7c | 4,275$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Ducks | 30c | 3,950$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Ducks | 15c | 3,801$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Ducks | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Oilers | 71c | 3,342$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.15 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Ducks | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 69c | 3,151$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Ducks | 30c | 3,067$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 31c | 3,052$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.43 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…d776backed Oilers | 67c | 2,962$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Ducks | 28c | 2,902$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ducks | 30c | 2,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Oilers | 80c | 2,622$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.02 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 0c | 2,542$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Oilers | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Ducks | 31c | 2,461$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.82 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oilers | 69c | 2,456$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.36 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 69c | 2,400$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Ducks | 46c | 2,166$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,093$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.72 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Ducks | 35c | 2,060$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.13 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Ducks | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Oilers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Oilers | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks | 4c | 2,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ducks | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Ducks | 1c | 1,955$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ducks | 20c | 1,921$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 19c | 1,890$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Ducks | 12c | 1,829$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Oilers | 69c | 1,800$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 65c | 1,740$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.86 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 79c | 1,694$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 67c | 1,668$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.24 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Ducks | 30c | 1,645$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Ducks | 7c | 1,615$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Oilers | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Oilers | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…3962backed Oilers | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 6c | 1,576$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Oilers | 65c | 1,571$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.3 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers | 68c | 1,560$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Oilers | 68c | 1,549$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.68 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ducks | 13c | 1,533$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.98 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Oilers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…cd81backed Oilers | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…428dbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8994…036abacked Oilers | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…e71bbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,499$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…f20fbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,499$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…f0ecbacked Oilers | 67c | 1,499$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…2e67backed Ducks | 33c | 1,498$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…a00cbacked Oilers | 67c | 1,498$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452e…9214backed Ducks | 33c | 1,498$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…0da1backed Oilers | 67c | 1,498$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a12…8879backed Oilers | 67c | 1,497$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…d695backed Ducks | 33c | 1,497$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…e531backed Oilers | 67c | 1,495$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…fd68backed Ducks | 33c | 1,495$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957f…177cbacked Ducks | 33c | 1,493$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…9f04backed Oilers | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Oilersthis page
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.