NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e334c0558e3535ea46a86579bef48cbd113d59972a4174bdd72e91f35a3d29a

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 27, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,128 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	56c	6,462$3,604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,857.33	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under	44c	4,657$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,066	168	43.5%73 W · 95 L	-14.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	57c	3,269$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.38	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	44c	2,586$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.05	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	333	45.6%152 W · 181 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fc…f4b0backed Under	44c	1,947$857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$856.68	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	57c	1,930$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.82	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4546…a2c2backed Under	44c	1,605$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under	43c	1,200$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Over	58c	1,164$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.41	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	43c	1,145$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.34	268	49.6%133 W · 135 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	57c	1,100$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.99	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over	57c	1,001$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$432.04	308	55.5%171 W · 137 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under	42c	694.08$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.23	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	42c	579.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.1	115	33.9%39 W · 76 L	-9.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e1…4cc7backed Under	44c	453.73$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.64	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over	52c	441.76$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.48	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	+16.4wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	48c	409.73$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.92	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	57c	406$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.58	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x966d…eaa5backed Under	43c	350$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.5	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	58c	314.43$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.66	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	56c	303.57$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.57	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over	59c	294.04$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.53	303	49.5%150 W · 153 L	-13.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	57c	289$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.29	868	52.4%455 W · 413 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under	43c	285.21$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.64	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	56c	281.8$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.99	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	45c	186.75$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.04	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	55c	186.75$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.04	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	56c	155$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.2	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	480	46.9%225 W · 255 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over	56c	142.86$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.86	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Under	44c	131.93$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.89	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under	43c	131$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	57c	122.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	196	51.5%101 W · 95 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Under	46c	119.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	44c	115$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	624	47.3%295 W · 329 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under	43c	111$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd6a…72e3backed Under	45c	109.73$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	56c	107.14$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.14	786	51.8%407 W · 379 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under	44c	106$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.64	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1005…3fc4backed Under	43c	95.35$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over	52c	93.62$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.01	224	43.3%97 W · 127 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	44c	90$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Under	42c	78$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	53c	76.42$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.92	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	56c	72.9$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.05	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x575f…7febbacked Under	43c	72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.96	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under	43c	65.87$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a42…34d8backed Under	43c	64.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	53c	60$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	43c	57.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	451	51.2%231 W · 220 L	+16.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Under	42c	51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	164	47%77 W · 87 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.75	550	48.2%265 W · 285 L	-11.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Under	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	56c	49.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	346	53.2%184 W · 162 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under	43c	46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Under	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	145	42.8%62 W · 83 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Under	43c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…24bebacked Under	44c	44.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Under	44c	43.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	57c	38.6$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	696	53.4%372 W · 324 L	-16.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x862d…2632backed Under	41c	32.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.31	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Under	45c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Over	59c	29.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	263	57.8%152 W · 111 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over	57c	29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.47	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over	56c	29$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.76	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Over	57c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over	57c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over	57c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Over	57c	27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Over	57c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed Over	57c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under	44c	23$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	91	57.1%52 W · 39 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Over	57c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Over	56c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over	56c	23$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.12	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over	57c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Under	50c	21.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd10a…91e9backed Over	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	260	59.6%155 W · 105 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-36%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb990…3d1cbacked Over	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Over	56c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
Ducks vs. OilersOilers won
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Over won
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event