Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cb20cb26bd95ee4dccd8c5d1b782210e1b7049e826a04d1413dce876c606788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 21c | 14,827$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 5,617$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,801$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,379$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 1,060$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.69 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 987$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 986.36$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.42 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 45c | 747.7$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Yes | 2c | 725.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…bd7abacked Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 10c | 371.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 368.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked No | 52c | 348.2$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 236$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 197.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 10c | 105.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 59.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 55c | 58.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 32c | 57.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 54.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 47.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 44c | 40.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…f2ffbacked No | 72c | 33.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 45c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…759abacked Yes | 49c | 24.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…b290backed No | 56c | 24.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 44c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 73c | 21.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +111%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 55c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.