Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd62b5516ab3aca19ed4358659eb387631ba9fe623a6a58e925c87811dcd7eb7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HMBLEof HMBLE, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed HMBLE | 80c | 15,332$12,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.2 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 3,983$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.65 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 2,116$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 1,743$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.63 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 914.95$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 776.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 13c | 600.09$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 378.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 14c | 280.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed HMBLE | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…bd7abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc8…18b3backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8d…3c88backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 189$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed HMBLE | 80c | 127.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 15c | 101.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f1…809fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 23cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 22c | 81.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 72.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked HMBLE | 79c | 53.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed HMBLE | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…770fbacked HMBLE | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…c48bbacked HMBLE | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…edd7backed HMBLE | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…01bebacked HMBLE | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.