TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Devils, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 774 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd09…a188backed Devils53c12,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,40061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Kraken46c9,325$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.428252.4%43 W · 39 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Devils53c8,698$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,610.1119051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken47c6,500$3,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.231,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Devils70c6,263$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,353.041,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken46c5,826$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,129.581,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Devils53c5,289$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.061,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils53c5,132$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.8856152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken57c5,094$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.052,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd295…0fe6backed Kraken29c4,549$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,229.51742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Devils29c4,095$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.978955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4128…bd66backed Kraken49c3,800$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029e…93a8backed Devils51c3,800$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken44c3,684$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.461,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Devils41c3,463$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.252,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Kraken46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9933345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Devils54c2,824$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.0512838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Devils52c2,565$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.3582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Devils33c2,439$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.6927739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kraken45c2,420$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.42,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Devils61c2,340$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.5858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Devils13c2,273$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.182,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…452ebacked Devils53c2,262$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006e…7a71backed Kraken47c2,244$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kraken47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16660249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…94ffbacked Devils54c2,180$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc151…77b1backed Kraken46c2,168$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Devils58c2,144$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.2661950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Devils54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.994045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaba…fb7abacked Kraken47c1,952$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Kraken38c1,820$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Devils55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Kraken47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95440049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked Devils31c1,700$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-63.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fa2…0d3ebacked Devils54c1,695$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe758…c5afbacked Devils38c1,571$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.822763%17 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kraken46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8879350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils1c1,511$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.117450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Kraken64c1,507$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.442254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…53ecbacked Devils53c1,499$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.471361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…6d68backed Kraken47c1,499$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.471127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0086…9457backed Devils53c1,494$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x279c…c227backed Kraken47c1,494$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd881…001dbacked Devils53c1,492$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d7…dd49backed Kraken47c1,492$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.761266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…244dbacked Kraken47c1,490$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.71369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbe2…a5fcbacked Devils53c1,490$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-84.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe669…b764backed Kraken47c1,486$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad56…0619backed Devils53c1,486$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53f4…f900backed Devils53c1,485$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3764…b634backed Kraken47c1,485$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5857…c4b7backed Devils53c1,485$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-66.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03da…abf9backed Kraken47c1,485$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7734…9862backed Devils53c1,482$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7a…8471backed Kraken47c1,482$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94b3…1ef8backed Devils53c1,477$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08d…366cbacked Kraken47c1,477$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.811030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x793f…125bbacked Kraken47c1,473$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.691353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9259…ad70backed Devils53c1,473$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.691050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840a…3496backed Kraken47c1,472$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.161060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…d5a8backed Devils53c1,472$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78fb…c209backed Kraken47c1,469$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3776…90c7backed Devils53c1,469$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.571040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb20b…dab9backed Kraken47c1,467$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacef…5386backed Devils53c1,467$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…1b17backed Kraken47c1,463$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.391154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9f…a16bbacked Devils53c1,463$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7190…196bbacked Kraken47c1,462$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…5ac8backed Devils53c1,462$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3681…05eabacked Devils53c1,456$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.681450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0531…9fa7backed Kraken47c1,456$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5e…620abacked Devils53c1,450$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe96b…c2e6backed Kraken47c1,450$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9b…7485backed Devils53c1,436$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba4…9f16backed Kraken47c1,436$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2196…8fc5backed Kraken47c1,432$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc05…f529backed Devils53c1,432$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…6be4backed Kraken47c1,431$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.431560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2a1…c487backed Devils53c1,431$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8577…ce3bbacked Kraken47c1,430$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2455…80c0backed Devils53c1,430$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe549…d25ebacked Devils53c1,430$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…d4babacked Kraken47c1,430$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf0…5d5cbacked Devils53c1,429$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.371154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e9…7b3cbacked Kraken47c1,429$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.37944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489a…b412backed Devils53c1,427$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x350e…c122backed Devils53c1,427$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefa…3031backed Kraken47c1,427$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…898cbacked Kraken47c1,427$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.311145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…1c5cbacked Devils53c1,426$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace5…246dbacked Kraken47c1,426$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.781353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea05…b5bebacked Devils53c1,424$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.721154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d48…da85backed Kraken47c1,424$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.721040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab92…f4a1backed Devils53c1,423$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7fb…798bbacked Kraken47c1,423$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.191163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6393…92bcbacked Devils53c1,420$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f7…534bbacked Kraken47c1,420$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa475…ca92backed Devils53c1,418$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x251d…c10cbacked Kraken47c1,418$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.