NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bef00f7f201513f9640580758a7e6625f1c416ed414a2b85d3e21e17da9fd7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Under | 47c | 2,700$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…0a52backed Over | 53c | 2,700$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.25 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 883.61$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.13 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 51c | 877$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.33 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 668.91$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.14 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 48c | 371.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.47 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 302.15$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 48c | 288.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 27c | 246.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 214.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 5c | 207.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 23c | 183.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 178.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 171.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Over | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 48c | 144.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 97.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 12c | 96.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 309 | 51.1%158 W · 151 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 67c | 60.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 56.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Under | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…bcaebacked Under | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 52c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 52c | 23.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…92e3backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Under | 57c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 51c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. KrakenKraken won
- Devils vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.