TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns57c8,440$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns65c7,572$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.963,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Suns61c6,934$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2301376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers40c5,032$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,030.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers39c3,939$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns52c3,724$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9302,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers48c3,273$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers43c2,272$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.042,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1801,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Clippers41c1,900$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12146145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Clippers42c1,500$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8651,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Clippers35c958$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Clippers48c954.44$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.3121152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers46c952.67$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.892,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Clippers47c812$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.361,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Suns53c566.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.540648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Clippers42c531$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9816539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f0…df87backed Suns2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Clippers38c450$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27916740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Suns59c418.69$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.031,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Clippers37c409.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8110953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Clippers44c333.33$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Clippers35c323.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5920838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Suns66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Suns53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Clippers41c254.34$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Suns53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Suns55c245.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8536359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b32…bd7abacked Clippers37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns59c187.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns52c183.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns52c175.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Suns60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a06…dc62backed Clippers47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Clippers51c127$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.184755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Clippers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns46c105.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.664,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Suns60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Clippers47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7418256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Suns61c92.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Suns53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Suns54c80.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.235851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed Clippers73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.94850%24 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clippers45c79.23$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.511,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Clippers48c79.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1728251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e7…8258backed Clippers40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2681…8aeabacked Clippers40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0a…a4b8backed Clippers41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Clippers41c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc638…eb19backed Clippers47c55.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clippers40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…7071backed Clippers47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Clippers47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.192763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77ed…6102backed Suns46c51.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.685837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked Clippers40c50.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.415250%26 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Clippers40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7741048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Clippers41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7816546.1%76 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…cb9cbacked Clippers41c48.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Suns53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Clippers44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4540344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers50c44.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Clippers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0957…54efbacked Clippers47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Suns53c41.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2721645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb679…7340backed Clippers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1750…c64fbacked Clippers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ee…dc20backed Clippers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x055b…028bbacked Clippers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Suns53c40.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.634351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Clippers39c40.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3747045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Clippers38c38.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1139736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Suns65c38.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8917949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Suns62c35.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5cd…f2c7backed Clippers48c33.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17d…8235backed Clippers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Suns65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Suns64c29.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Suns55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb79b…cf30backed Suns55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Suns52c26.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…ec44backed Clippers48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers48c21.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.461,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Suns63c21.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3657657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Suns53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.619050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Suns65c16.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.575933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.