NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdac035cf58152a7af504dda47880f553df757ecffa54f4bd034ab71d5b8a8964
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,011$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Over | 51c | 8,120$4,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Under | 49c | 8,120$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 4,260$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 52c | 3,090$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.2 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 75c | 1,795$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.03 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 1,473$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 49c | 1,439$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.33 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 1,384$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 964.8$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.81 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 46c | 847.62$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 41c | 434.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 53c | 398.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 38c | 300.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 37c | 202.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 42c | 198.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 194.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 173.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 63c | 116.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Under | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 59c | 74.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 68.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 57.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 56.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 56.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 51.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 58c | 49.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Under | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 39c | 45.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 62c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 35.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…035cbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3ff7backed Under | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 214.5this page
- Clippers vs. SunsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Clippers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 209.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 210.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 211.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 212.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 213.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 22.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Suns (-9.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.